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ASYS - Amtech Systems

Posted on 5/10/11 at 5:11 pm
Posted by RedStickBR
Member since Sep 2009
14577 posts
Posted on 5/10/11 at 5:11 pm
Congrats to everyone who hung in there. They just absolutely destroyed earnings. And the company has issued no new shares. Worries over the shelf were a hoax, as expected.
Posted by wegotdatwood
Member since Aug 2009
17094 posts
Posted on 5/10/11 at 8:04 pm to
Where do you see it going from here?
Posted by RedStickBR
Member since Sep 2009
14577 posts
Posted on 5/10/11 at 8:27 pm to
For the third best performer in its industry in terms of Quarterly YoY Revenue growth, I think a P/E of 15 is conservative, which implies a PPS of just over $34 on TTM fully diluted earnings of $2.29/share.

Revenue growth is King in this industry and ASYS is kicking arse in that respect. The top semi/solar equipment manufacturers regularly trade at 30+ times earnings. Hell, you're a laggard in this industry if you're trading with a P/E less than 20.

I tend to err on the side of caution, so I'll stick with my conservative $34 price target at 15x earnings. I think now with four solid quarters of major profitability behind us, we'll get noticed by more analysts and priced accordingly.
This post was edited on 5/10/11 at 8:58 pm
Posted by DeLemma
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Nov 2010
143 posts
Posted on 5/10/11 at 8:50 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 5/10/11 at 8:51 pm
Posted by TigerDeBaiter
Member since Dec 2010
10659 posts
Posted on 5/10/11 at 8:52 pm to


doubling and tripling down after a couple major dips paid off here. Still highly undervalued IMO, PEG of around .40, that is if they can continue to project and achieve this type of growth. Thanks RSBR, for introducing this great company to me. Up another 5.8% after hours...

(i think it was you)
Posted by RedStickBR
Member since Sep 2009
14577 posts
Posted on 5/10/11 at 8:57 pm to
I'm pretty pumped. I actually own some June $20 calls as well as the underlying security. I got the calls for $1.75/contract. Should be worth at least double that at tomorrow's open. This was actually my first option trade (see old ASYS thread).
Posted by TigerDeBaiter
Member since Dec 2010
10659 posts
Posted on 5/10/11 at 9:02 pm to
Posted by Interception
Member since Nov 2008
11089 posts
Posted on 5/10/11 at 11:52 pm to
Bought everything I could around $20 on the feeling they would have an earnings blowout. They did not disappoint! Yea, I think this ASYS is moving to $30 and has a realistic chance of topping $34 unless some macroeconomic B.S. kills our momentum. I plan on unloading small positions starting at $25.

Posted by wegotdatwood
Member since Aug 2009
17094 posts
Posted on 5/10/11 at 11:58 pm to
Do y'all think the summer will be crappy? I'm not in on anything right now.
Posted by Interception
Member since Nov 2008
11089 posts
Posted on 5/11/11 at 9:42 pm to
Will this summer be crappy?

Crystal ball says, "No"?

Depends on the sector/stocks IMO. Commodity markets will be volatile through the summer and propably going into the 3rd quarter. Many of us are trying to find areas outside commodities that are minimally affected by oil ect. ASYS fit the bill in my book but do your own DD!
Posted by wegotdatwood
Member since Aug 2009
17094 posts
Posted on 5/12/11 at 11:47 am to
Up 5% today so far.
Posted by wegotdatwood
Member since Aug 2009
17094 posts
Posted on 5/17/11 at 11:33 am to
What gives? The fall due to hp?
Posted by TigerDeBaiter
Member since Dec 2010
10659 posts
Posted on 5/17/11 at 1:15 pm to
No respect for this company it seems

I really don't get it.
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