re: Bowl Game if LSU doesn't make the ship

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People should get TCU out of their minds. Boise is not passing up TCU in the BCS for one. That means only TCU will be guaranteed a BCS bowl game. Also, the Rose Bowl has already committed to taking the highest NON AQ if they lose a team, so I am almost certain the Sugar Bowl will pass on TCU knowing someone else will take them. The bowls are about money, so I firmly believe the Sugar passes on Boise too and takes Ohio State or maybe Nebraska if they lose the Big We championship. The bowls can honestly careless about a good matchup, hence TCU v Boise in the same game last year. They want travel revenue in those cities.

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Someone sticky this.

In the end, if LSU is top 4 in the BCS and Auburn wins the SEC title, they are guaranteed a spot.

If LSU is top 4 in the BCS and Auburn loses in the SECCG, LSU will have to hope that they are selected at 11-1 over a 12-1 Auburn team.

The "easiest" road to a BCS bowl for LSU is actually for Auburn to beat UGA but lose to Bama. That would drop Auburn to 11-1 and likely behind LSU in the BCS. While a win in the SECCG would put Auburn back into the top 2 (most likely, a la 2007 LSU), we would still be in the top 4. In the event that Auburn loses the SECCG, then LSU will be top 4 and no other SEC team will be up there to fight for that spot.