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Started By
Message

How long before
Posted on 6/8/10 at 8:33 pm
Posted on 6/8/10 at 8:33 pm
if the well were capped today, how long do you think it would take all the oil leaked into the gulf to circulate out?
Posted on 6/8/10 at 8:35 pm to genuineLSUtiger
30 years?! I was thinking (hoping) maybe two. 
Posted on 6/8/10 at 8:58 pm to Tigerguyinexile
Yeah two decades sounds about right. 30 years may have been a stretch.
Posted on 6/8/10 at 10:34 pm to genuineLSUtiger
I don't think anyone knows for sure, but I would think alot of it would degrade and emulsify into smaller particles and surface on the beach as balls...how long that would happen who knows....
Posted on 6/8/10 at 10:38 pm to eye65
Depends. If we assemble all the blow hard politicians we could probably send it to South America in no time.
Posted on 6/9/10 at 7:14 am to faxis
Without seeing any effects at all? Probably 20 years minimum. 30 years max.
Posted on 6/9/10 at 7:22 am to Tigerguyinexile
Posted on 6/9/10 at 7:23 am to LSUGradATL
Colburn knows from personal experience about the far-reaching impacts of an oil disaster. The Alaskan captain has witnessed the ongoing effects of the Exxon Valdez spill, which dumped 11 million gallons of oil along 1,300 miles of beaches in the Prince William Sound.
"On the surface, it looks like [the Sound] has recovered, but 21 years later, there's still oil all over the Sound, just six inches below the surface. The herring population has never really come back.
"But the Prince William Sound is an enclosed area. They were able to contain a lot of the oil spill, to secure it. It doesn't compare to what's happening in the Gulf. The water is more docile and the oil is spreading over a much wider area. It's massive," said Colburn.
Colburn also offered a warning and some advice for Gulf fishermen. During the Valdez spill, fishing crews were enlisted to help with the clean-up and were paid well -- more than they'd make fishing, said Colburn.
"As soon as the clean-up was over, that revenue stream disappeared and the fisheries were closed indefinitely, so there was no fishing to replace that revenue," said Colburn. "Get your crews out there and try to help with the clean-up, but don't go out and buy a new boat."
The full impact of the oil disaster will be felt for years, and will reach far beyond the fishermen, said Colburn.
"You've got a huge recreational fishing economy down there. How many millions of gallons of fuel won't be bought? How much bait won't be sold at tackle shops? How many cases of beer from the convenience stores won't be consumed? It's going to trickle down, and it's going to hurt for a while," said Colburn.
"On the surface, it looks like [the Sound] has recovered, but 21 years later, there's still oil all over the Sound, just six inches below the surface. The herring population has never really come back.
"But the Prince William Sound is an enclosed area. They were able to contain a lot of the oil spill, to secure it. It doesn't compare to what's happening in the Gulf. The water is more docile and the oil is spreading over a much wider area. It's massive," said Colburn.
Colburn also offered a warning and some advice for Gulf fishermen. During the Valdez spill, fishing crews were enlisted to help with the clean-up and were paid well -- more than they'd make fishing, said Colburn.
"As soon as the clean-up was over, that revenue stream disappeared and the fisheries were closed indefinitely, so there was no fishing to replace that revenue," said Colburn. "Get your crews out there and try to help with the clean-up, but don't go out and buy a new boat."
The full impact of the oil disaster will be felt for years, and will reach far beyond the fishermen, said Colburn.
"You've got a huge recreational fishing economy down there. How many millions of gallons of fuel won't be bought? How much bait won't be sold at tackle shops? How many cases of beer from the convenience stores won't be consumed? It's going to trickle down, and it's going to hurt for a while," said Colburn.
Posted on 6/9/10 at 7:31 am to LSUGradATL
This
Is not the same as this FWIW
Is not the same as this FWIW
Posted on 6/9/10 at 8:28 am to LSUGradATL
quote:
Well in Alaska the oil is still in the sound, the beaches are clean but the fishing is dead.
I think the situation in Kuwait would probably be a better comparison. The climate is more similar.
Kuwait Oil Spill
Posted on 6/9/10 at 8:30 am to Tigerguyinexile
Correct answer is till December 2012 when the world ends anyway.
Posted on 6/9/10 at 1:36 pm to LSUGradATL
quote:Try washing oil off you hands in 85 degree water then try doing it with 35 degree water. The oil in the warm shallow water, where most aquatic life is, will be almost gone in two to three years with traces for five to 10 years.
Well in Alaska the oil is still in the sound, the beaches are clean but the fishing is dead.
Oil breaks down much easier in warm water and the bacteria that breaks it down thrive better in warm water.
Posted on 6/9/10 at 1:48 pm to LSUGradATL
quote:
"But the Prince William Sound is an enclosed area. They were able to contain a lot of the oil spill, to secure it. It doesn't compare to what's happening in the Gulf. The water is more docile and the oil is spreading over a much wider area. It's massive,"
(Seeking a silver lining) - even if the spill in the GoM is larger, wouldn't this fact above work to the GoM's advantage? Seems to me, even if the slick were larger, being more spread out and less concentrated, it would be more susceptible to environmental forces to dilute it and break it down, thus shortening its lifespan in the gulf. That's not to say that the effects won't be severe and long-lasting, but I would think having the oil widely dispersed would help it to break down more quickly and maybe not have as sharp of an impact - at least not as sharp in one concentrated area.
Posted on 6/9/10 at 1:51 pm to BenHOGan
see my posts with the pics above, thats what im getting at
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