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Postseason musings...am I being paranoid?
Posted on 11/1/09 at 7:59 pm
Posted on 11/1/09 at 7:59 pm
USC dropped to 12. They'll be back in the Top 10 next weekend, two weeks at the latest. If they win out, they'll almost assuredly be in the top 8 of the BCS, which makes them a lock for an at-large bid.
Meanwhile, we could run the table, lose to an undefeated Florida by one point in the SEC Championship, and a one-loss Bama team lands in the Sugar. We're probably going to get, at best, a Cotton Bowl bid or back to our home away from home, the Peach/Chik Fil-A Bowl. For whatever reason, the SEC bowls in Florida HATE us and they'll offer bids to 4 loss South Carolina, Georgia, and Tennessee teams before even thinking about us. The only reason the Capitol One took us in 2004 was because we were defending national champs. There's just something in my gut that doesn't feel right about how our bowl situation could pan out.
So it seems to me like the ONLY way for us to get a decent bowl is if we go out and win the whole fricking thing.
Feel free to tell me I'm crazy and/or delusional. I'm offshore, surrounded by Texas, Oklahoma and Ole Miss fans, and I might need some reassurance or gentle scolding from my Tiger faithful.
Meanwhile, we could run the table, lose to an undefeated Florida by one point in the SEC Championship, and a one-loss Bama team lands in the Sugar. We're probably going to get, at best, a Cotton Bowl bid or back to our home away from home, the Peach/Chik Fil-A Bowl. For whatever reason, the SEC bowls in Florida HATE us and they'll offer bids to 4 loss South Carolina, Georgia, and Tennessee teams before even thinking about us. The only reason the Capitol One took us in 2004 was because we were defending national champs. There's just something in my gut that doesn't feel right about how our bowl situation could pan out.
So it seems to me like the ONLY way for us to get a decent bowl is if we go out and win the whole fricking thing.
Feel free to tell me I'm crazy and/or delusional. I'm offshore, surrounded by Texas, Oklahoma and Ole Miss fans, and I might need some reassurance or gentle scolding from my Tiger faithful.
7
Posted on 11/1/09 at 8:03 pm to Fast Eddie
If we win out and lose to Florida in the SECCG, the sugar bowl will almost surely take us. A two loss USC team won't get a BCS at large. There's too many teams ahead of them now, Boise St. Cincy. If an undefeated Mid Major team gets passed over again, there's gonna be another national outcry, the BCS knows this
This post was edited on 11/1/09 at 8:05 pm
Posted on 11/1/09 at 8:05 pm to Fast Eddie
Anything can happen, but if I were a betting man, I would say we will end up in Capital One Bowl against Ohio State or Penn State.
Posted on 11/1/09 at 8:07 pm to Fast Eddie
Yea, you're being paranoid. Keep in mind, there is a new rule in place in the past year or two where the loser of the SECCG can't drop below the Capital One Bowl. As for the bowls in Florida "hating" LSU, that's kinda funny. The Capital One Bowl usually gets the #2 team (#3 if two SEC schools go to the BCS) and then the Outback usually takes the next best team from the East, which is why LSU or any other West team rarely plays there, and the Cotton takes the next best team from the West.
Posted on 11/1/09 at 8:08 pm to Fast Eddie
Conferences are only allowed two BCS bids.
Posted on 11/1/09 at 8:10 pm to Fast Eddie
quote:
Meanwhile, we could run the table, lose to an undefeated Florida by one point in the SEC Championship, and a one-loss Bama team lands in the Sugar.
I wouldn't assume that to be true. The deck is certainly stacked against the SEC CG loser, but these two facts would be in our favor:
1) we would have beaten the other potential bid, Bama
2) our two losses would both be to the same team. That's better than two losses to two different teams.
Posted on 11/1/09 at 8:17 pm to Fast Eddie
You're an alcoholic if you think the Capital One Bowl would take anyone under an 11-2 LSU team.
LSU likely still goes to the Capital One Bowl even if we lose two more games and end up at 9-3. After Florida, Alabama, and LSU, there's not an attractive team in the SEC for a bowl like the Capital One to pick.
LSU likely still goes to the Capital One Bowl even if we lose two more games and end up at 9-3. After Florida, Alabama, and LSU, there's not an attractive team in the SEC for a bowl like the Capital One to pick.
This post was edited on 11/1/09 at 8:18 pm
Posted on 11/1/09 at 8:27 pm to Fast Eddie
You're paranoid about 2005 and dropping all the way to the Peach Bowl. This year in the SEC isn't like 2005. There are three good teams and the rest are in the middle of the pack. While in 2005 there were quite a few teams bunched up around the top. (Georgia winning the SEC also threw a wrench into the SEC bowl selections.) 2009 in the SEC is nothing like 2005.
2007 wasn't that long ago. The Capital One Bowl would nut at the chance to get an LSU/Ohio State matchup. Even LSU/Penn State would make them salivate.
LSU is going to the:
BCSNCG at 12-1
Sugar Bowl at 12-1 if left out of the title game
Capital One Bowl at 11-2 or 9-3
Cotton Bowl at 8-4 if we somehow lose out in our SEC games
quote:
The only reason the Capitol One took us in 2004 was because we were defending national champs.
2007 wasn't that long ago. The Capital One Bowl would nut at the chance to get an LSU/Ohio State matchup. Even LSU/Penn State would make them salivate.
LSU is going to the:
BCSNCG at 12-1
Sugar Bowl at 12-1 if left out of the title game
Capital One Bowl at 11-2 or 9-3
Cotton Bowl at 8-4 if we somehow lose out in our SEC games
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