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re: BCS works __% of the time? 27%

Posted on 7/16/09 at 7:33 pm to
Posted by Indiana Tiger
Member since Feb 2005
4064 posts
Posted on 7/16/09 at 7:33 pm to
quote:

True but isn't that what the strength of schedule component if for. Looking back at it AU had a much harder schedule than OU yet because the pollsters decided to kept 1 and 2 the same shouldn't the strength of schedule part have been enough to switch OU in AU in the final poll before the Championship game. That's the way it's suppose to happen. Did he strength of schedule have no effect on the outcome because of the polls in the selection in 04 or did the computers screw it up either way AU 04 did get shafted.

If there was an explicit SOS component, AU would have fallen even further behind. AU has the weakest SOS. When you have undefeated teams, the only thing the BCS computers can really use to separate the teams is SOS. AU was 3rd in all BCS computer polls. In fact they were 3rd in practically every computer poll. AU OOC sched sucked! Relative to recent standands, the SEC sucked! The SEC scheduled few good teams OOC and lost to all of them. They also lost to a number of mediocre teams. I think the best team they beat had a record like 7-5, possibly 8-4 (I don't remember off the top of my head). Overall conference strength effects AU's SOS and the SEC didn't help them.
Posted by tigerfighter
new orleans
Member since Jun 2008
193 posts
Posted on 7/16/09 at 8:20 pm to
Well good teams AU beat
LSU 9-2
Tenn(2x) 9-2
UGA 9-2
All reg season records b/c the selection commitee would not have included bowl wins
OU reg season best wins
Ball state 8-3
Texas 10-1
so the only thing that hurt AU was the Citadel b/c they are an FCS team instead of BCS team
This post was edited on 7/16/09 at 8:22 pm
Posted by Obi-Wan Tiger
Fulshear TX
Member since Jan 2004
7298 posts
Posted on 7/16/09 at 9:26 pm to
quote:

AU has the weakest SOS. When you have undefeated teams, the only thing the BCS computers can really use to separate the teams is SOS.


Shouldn't a superior 8 game + conference champ game schedule trump a three game OOC schedule? There has not been a year any time this decade that the Big XII was better than the SEC.

quote:

Relative to recent standands, the SEC sucked!


Maybe so, but it was still better than the Big XII that year. Keep in mind, "experts" said the same thing about this past season and we see how that turned out.

ETA...when nobody in one of the two divisions in a conference has a winning conference record as the BXII did in 04, it pretty much says it all.
This post was edited on 7/16/09 at 9:31 pm
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