SYM to report Nov 24th, up 176% YTD

$22.4B backlog (10+ years of revenue visibility) and accelerating deployments (46 systems in progress vs. 25 operational at FY2024 end).

Growth drivers include AI robotics adoption in a $35B+ market (projected to $63B by 2030 at 15-16% CAGR), recurring software revenue (65% margins, expected $32M in FY2025), and partnerships like the recent Nyobolt power tech deal for faster bots.

GROK:

My Projection: $150 Per Share by Sep 2030 (~130% Upside from Today)

Base Case (60% Probability): Revenue hits $5B at 18% CAGR, EPS $2.20, valued at 60x (tapering from 100x+ today as growth matures; peers like UiPath at 8x sales). Implies $132, rounded to $150 with 10% premium for backlog/moat. Aligns with CoinCodex ($176 avg.) and Exla ($141 end-2030).

Bull Case (25% Probability): 25% CAGR to $6.5B revenue (faster Walmart rollouts + international), EPS $3.00, 70x multiple = $210+. If quantum-adjacent AI integrations (e.g., via partnerships) boost margins to 30%.

Bear Case (15% Probability): 12% CAGR to $3.8B (delays, recession hits retail capex), EPS $1.00, 40x = $40. Matches Zacks lows if class-action suits or client churn materializes.


Symbotic Inc. (NASDAQ: SYM) is a leader in AI-powered warehouse automation, deploying end-to-end robotic systems for retailers like Walmart and Target.