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Message
10y treasury up to 4.48% overnight
Posted on 4/8/25 at 11:24 pm
Posted on 4/8/25 at 11:24 pm
Not ideal across the board. China might be selling but the treasury auction today was weak and rates are flying.
Posted on 4/8/25 at 11:31 pm to slackster
Up 60 bps in 2 days.
But right now, it seems 4.5 was the ceiling, at least in the last hour or so. Buyers jumping in now.
Who knows what's going to happen next, but it's been interesting to watch happen in real time.

But right now, it seems 4.5 was the ceiling, at least in the last hour or so. Buyers jumping in now.
Who knows what's going to happen next, but it's been interesting to watch happen in real time.
Posted on 4/8/25 at 11:31 pm to SaturatedPhat
quote:
Is Powell sleeping?
What do you want him to do? You can’t cut here.
Posted on 4/8/25 at 11:33 pm to slackster
Are there any other suitable investment alternatives besides US treasuries for the Chinese government? Because if so, I’m unaware of them.
Posted on 4/8/25 at 11:37 pm to Riverside
They have to be dumping massive amoubts for that bounce its insane 

Posted on 4/8/25 at 11:38 pm to slackster
quote:
What do you want him to do? You can’t cut here.
He should have listened to President Trump a month ago instead of being a little bitch about it.
Posted on 4/8/25 at 11:39 pm to SaturatedPhat
I read that the Fed has a closed door meeting on Monday. Perhaps this was discussed.
Posted on 4/8/25 at 11:53 pm to SaturatedPhat
quote:Certainly you understand the fed funds rate has little if any impact on the 10 year, right?
He should have listened to President Trump a month ago instead of being a little bitch about it.
Posted on 4/8/25 at 11:56 pm to SaturatedPhat
quote:
He should have listened to President Trump a month ago instead of being a little bitch about it.
Lol what?
Posted on 4/8/25 at 11:56 pm to SDVTiger
quote:
They have to be dumping massive amoubts for that bounce its insane
The auction sucked.
Posted on 4/9/25 at 12:01 am to slackster
I wish I had money to buy more treasuries
China can't take this L forever
China can't take this L forever
Posted on 4/9/25 at 12:07 am to Big Scrub TX
quote:
Certainly you understand the fed funds rate has little if any impact on the 10 year, right?
Certainly, you are wrong.
Posted on 4/9/25 at 12:08 am to SaturatedPhat
quote:
He should have listened to President Trump a month ago instead of being a little bitch about it.
I can't fathom the level of economic ignorance it takes to make this statement.
The 10 year treasury is free floating, ya'll.
Posted on 4/9/25 at 12:09 am to thelawnwranglers
quote:
wish I had money to buy more treasuries China can't take this L forever
Are you really going to bet the market can’t recover its losses in 10y? Just getting back to where we were 8 weeks ago would be a 1.8% CAGR. If stocks overall can grow another 3% per year you’re better off in equities.
Posted on 4/9/25 at 12:10 am to MikeyFL
quote:
I can't fathom the level of economic ignorance it takes to make this statement.
Fathom it yuh dumb mother fricker.
Posted on 4/9/25 at 12:10 am to SaturatedPhat
quote:
Certainly you understand the fed funds rate has little if any impact on the 10 year, right?
quote:
Certainly, you are wrong.
Oh my. Some of you are dumber than I thought.
Posted on 4/9/25 at 12:10 am to MikeyFL
quote:Nah. Listen to the genius above explaining that it's not.
The 10 year treasury is free floating, ya'll.
Posted on 4/9/25 at 12:15 am to slackster
quote:
Are you really going to bet the market can’t recover its losses in 10y? Just getting back to where we were 8 weeks ago would be a 1.8% CAGR. If stocks overall can grow another 3% per year you’re better off in equities.
I am sure market will recover - hence I am not willing to sale equities to buy treasuries
I don't think China can continue to manipulate market for long. It will cost them a lot . So could make quick buck on treasuries
This post was edited on 4/9/25 at 12:17 am
Posted on 4/9/25 at 12:23 am to Riverside
[quote]Are there any other suitable investment alternatives besides US treasuries for the Chinese government? Because if so, I’m unaware of them.[/quote
Gold
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