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re: Forecaster who hasn't missed a presidential prediction in 40 YEARS reveals prediction
Posted on 5/1/24 at 9:33 am to Covingtontiger77
Posted on 5/1/24 at 9:33 am to Covingtontiger77
quote:
There is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination. Incumbency:
The incumbent party candidate is the sitting president. Third party:
There is no significant third party or independent campaign. RFK
Short term economy: The economy is not in recession during the election campaign. YES IT IS
Long term economy: Real per capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms. WRONG
Policy change: The incumbent administration affects major changes in national policy. IN THE WRONG WAY
Social unrest: There is no sustained social unrest during the term. TURN ON THE NEWS
Scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal. REALLY??
Foreign/military failure: The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs. GOT OT BE A JOKE
Foreign/military success: The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs. REALLY??
Incumbent charisma: The incumbent party candidate is charismatic or a national hero. LOL
Challenger charisma: The challenging party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero. TRUMP IS VERY CHARISMATIC
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