re: Forecaster who hasn't missed a presidential prediction in 40 YEARS reveals prediction

A lot of people predict the winner. If ten thousand monkeys predicted the winner, with 50/50 odds, there would likely be one monkey who got them all correct for the last 14 cycles. When you consider that three of those elections were blowouts, and take those out of the equation, then all you need are 2,048 monkeys to end up with one who gets all 14 correct. (That’s 2 raised to the eleventh power).