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re: Do we have an argument to get in a regional…
Posted on 4/29/24 at 1:35 pm to Alt26
Posted on 4/29/24 at 1:35 pm to Alt26
quote:
Bottom line is this: The next two weeks will likely determine LSU's season. If they can take 2/3 vs. Alabama and A&M, they will have a decent shot of sneaking into a regional. Lose both series, and you can pretty much close the book on postseason play.
LSU will get in a regional at 13-17, regardless of how it happens over the next 3 weeks
Now the question is, can LSU go 6-4 over the next 3 SEC weekends?
This post was edited on 4/29/24 at 1:36 pm
Posted on 4/29/24 at 1:40 pm to Choupique19
If they take both the A&M and Bama series, they’ll be 11-16 at worse, with 2 series wins against top 15 RPI teams (one on the road) which would put their RPI up to near the mid 20s
Posted on 4/29/24 at 1:41 pm to Choupique19
With only 9 games to play in those 3 weeks, id say 6-4 is impossible
Posted on 4/29/24 at 2:33 pm to Choupique19
quote:
LSU will get in a regional at 13-17, regardless of how it happens over the next 3 weeks
I don't think I would go that far. LSU needs 6 wins to get to 13. If three of those come against Ole Miss that's not going to have much of an impact given Ole Miss isn't very good. LSU really needs 4 of the requisite 6 more wins to come against Alabama and (especially) A&M to feel better.
LSU's overall resume just isn't very good. Their non-conf. SOS isn't good (currently 137) and probably won't get much better (might get worse) with only games against Grambling and Northwestern St. remaining.
In conference they are 3-12 against likely NCAA Tournament teams. Ole Miss isn't a likely NCAA Tournament team, so piling up 3 wins against them won't register too much.
Texas A&M made a regional last year with a 14-16 SEC record. But their overall resume was more impressive than LSU's (at the moment). A&M took 2/3 from Auburn, Kentucky and Florida (all NCAAT teams). Plus, they had a better NC SOS than LSU (not great, but better).
Compare that to LSU who, to date, has done NOTHING noteworthy. They have only two SEC series wins...against two of the worst teams in the league who won't make the NCAAT. Ole Miss likely won't make the NCAAT either, so winning a series from them probably won't register much either.
Could 13 SEC wins get LSU in? Yes. But it may depend upon what those 13 look like. 13 wins with over half coming against the bottom of the SEC (Auburn, Missouri, Ole Miss) won't make a strong argument
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