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re: First Round NFL Draft: 8 OTs (record), 6 QBs (ties record) and 7 WRs (ties record)
Posted on 4/26/24 at 9:03 am to RolltidePA
Posted on 4/26/24 at 9:03 am to RolltidePA
quote:
One takeaway is that the NFL rules are over-indexed to the offensive side of the ball.
It's a takeaway, but a bad one
Defense adjusts to the offense and had a pretty good advantage last year, IIRC
This just wasn't a draft with elite D talent. No elite edges, no 2-way DIs, 2 good CBs who had some issues. No great coverage safeties.
2
Posted on 4/26/24 at 9:08 am to SlowFlowPro
The rules angle is a bit correlation and not cause
If the rules were so advantageous to the offense, it would arguably increase the value of the top end defensive talent
Speaks more to how poorly the QB and tackle play has been in the league the last few years and the explosion of the WR position and having a deep class at all three of those premium positions for possibly the first time ever
Now I think the rule changes have had a lot more of long term effect on this, in that athletes are pushed more towards these positions instead of defense and the development is structured around making a system around their strengths vs trying to fit them into a rigid coaching system, which is a relatively new trend to the league and other levels of football
If the rules were so advantageous to the offense, it would arguably increase the value of the top end defensive talent
Speaks more to how poorly the QB and tackle play has been in the league the last few years and the explosion of the WR position and having a deep class at all three of those premium positions for possibly the first time ever
Now I think the rule changes have had a lot more of long term effect on this, in that athletes are pushed more towards these positions instead of defense and the development is structured around making a system around their strengths vs trying to fit them into a rigid coaching system, which is a relatively new trend to the league and other levels of football
Posted on 4/26/24 at 12:56 pm to SlowFlowPro
quote:
It's a takeaway, but a bad one
Defense adjusts to the offense and had a pretty good advantage last year, IIRC
This just wasn't a draft with elite D talent. No elite edges, no 2-way DIs, 2 good CBs who had some issues. No great coverage safeties.
The statistics bear out that offensive yards per game has had a steady increased since 2000. League average passing yards per game has gone from 204 to 234. Rushing yards have remained steady going from 113 to 117. The last two season have had a correction about 10 total yards per game across the league.
Oddly enough the number of total TDs scored and points per game has remained very steady. Rules certainly favor offense when it comes to yards, but it hasn't affected point totals.
There's definitely truth in the class being light on quality defense; the trend does favor that teams are more focused on offense. Offensive players were drafted on average in 14 spots during the first round before 2010, starting in 2010 the average has pushed to nearly 18. 2017 was an outlier that drove the average down with only 13 offensive players going in the first round.
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