re: To all the Ukraine/Russia experts on the board

It depends. If the Ukrainians were to capitulate, and the Russians maintain a static position, minimal effect. But if you have total Ukrainian collapse and an emboldened Russia crossing the Dnieper taking Kiev and Odessa, it could be a problem for our allies across the Eastern end of NATO.....and as such us.

Unless your aim is to have the US abandon Europe and high tail it back across the Atlantic.