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re: Do experts on the money board agree with what the feds did today?

Posted on 3/27/24 at 3:52 am to
Posted by CamdenTiger
Member since Aug 2009
62732 posts
Posted on 3/27/24 at 3:52 am to
Yeah, just don’t see the hikes coming with all that’s been released unless they break something, and that’s what I think they see happening, probably starting in June. They say banks, or commercial real estate, or unemployment, etc…but with the service of the debt both public or private, rates will have to drop and we’ll deal with higher inflation imo…
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
52037 posts
Posted on 3/27/24 at 6:27 am to
quote:

but with the service of the debt both public or private, rates will have to drop and we’ll deal with higher inflation imo…


That's what Powell has refused to understand, the choice has always been between Recession and Inflation. A "soft landing" from the kind of liquidity injections we've seen is impossible.

If they cut rates while inflation is still stuck above 3%, we're going to see inflation jump. If they do it in June, it wouldn't shock me to see inflation back above 4% by Election Day.
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