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re: COVID Lab Leak Theory Resurfaces After Controversial New Study
Posted on 3/17/24 at 11:36 pm to TigerDoc
Posted on 3/17/24 at 11:36 pm to TigerDoc
quote:
probably zoonotic until there's good reason not to
A biolab in the same town that works on that sort of virus? Or a random tree rat who no-one has gotten such a disease from in modern history? I get where you're coming from, but I'm too skeptical to even buy into it at a provisional theory that goes against (I don't write journals, so I'm sure I'm not using the right terms,) logic and probability. Thousands of wet markets in China, but it happened in the place they have a lab. Koinky-dink?
Let's discount that until a government that will never give us enough evidence to prove that. I guess we're done here
Posted on 3/17/24 at 11:44 pm to LemmyLives
I agree. It's a reasonable controversy because there are plausible competing explanations. Where the relevant experts differ from the online baw, though, is their priors are strongly on the side of spillovers because they've seen it a thousand times and there has never in the history of the world been a proven iatrogenic pandemic. Plus, the published literature looks more over time like a spillover. The availability heuristic makes conspiracy SO JUICY THO once the layman learns of a virology lab across town. People get puzzled when they see a story like this claim the "lab leak theory resurfaces" like "WHAT DO YOU MEAN RESURFACES IT WAS NEVER GONE". That's because it's the dominant theory among the public, but it's a minority opinion among experts, although it's not really dead there either.
This post was edited on 3/17/24 at 11:55 pm
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