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re: Does this season change your view of Coach MM regardless of how this season finishe

Posted on 2/22/24 at 11:29 am to
Posted by Lapaz
Member since Dec 2018
546 posts
Posted on 2/22/24 at 11:29 am to
quote:

No, Wade is better overall. He’s had some upsets this year, but that’s not the end all be all. He has to get better each year. At the same time look at McNeese.


Wade may be a better coach, and McNeese has done very well under Wade, but they are hugely overrated at 64th on Kenpom. Their signature win was against Michigan that is 105th on Kenpom. That was still impressive, but not nearly as impressive as what LSU has done. Nichols barely beat by 2 points at home against Lafayette that is 309th on Kenpom. They lost to Southeastern Louisiana by 3 and they are 274th. The best team they've played this year is Louisiana Tech which is 81st, and Nichols lost to Louisiana Tech by 9. They lost to Western Carolina by 2, and they are 128th. They just beat Texas CC by 6 points, and they are 187th. If they make the NCAAT, they will get crushed. I know LSU lost to Nichols which is 273rd, but LSU is way better than they were earlier in the year, whereas if you look at McNeese, I don't see improvement. So the best team that McNeese has beaten is Michigan at 105th; whereas LSU has now beaten the 21st Wake Forest, 23rd Kentucky, 52nd Texas A&M, 55th USCe, 70th Miss, and 74th North Texas teams. Besides the crushing loss to Nichols, LSU's big losses to Syracuse 85th and Kansas St 72nd came before their big improvements. Any team can have an awful day in basketball, so that loss shouldn't bury LSU. Also, I think LSU would beat Syracuse and Kansas St today. I think LSU should be rated around 50th in Kenpom and deserve to make the NCAAT, whereas I think McNeese should be rated around 100. That's still great for McNeese, so I respect the job Wade has done, but that doesn't take away from CMM.
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
29572 posts
Posted on 2/22/24 at 11:41 am to
quote:

but they are hugely overrated at 64th on Kenpom


KenPom is just data. There is no subjectivity to the ratings. So it's impossible to be overrated or underrated in those rankings.

quote:

I think LSU should be rated around 50th in Kenpom


Again. It's just data. LSU's ranking on there is what the data shows. It's not Ken Pomeroy sitting in his house deciding he, personally, doesn't think LSU is a good as you might think they are

Now, you can use that data to filter out teams who may be overrated or underrated in subjective rankings (i.e. top 25 polls). South Carolina might be one of those teams. It's why LSU was a larger underdog vs. Florida than South Carolina...despite South Carolina having a better record and higher ranking.

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