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re: Garret Graves was on top. Now he's fighting for his political life. What happened?
Posted on 1/21/24 at 1:16 pm to LSUFanHouston
Posted on 1/21/24 at 1:16 pm to LSUFanHouston
quote:
So if your argument is that he would need a weak turnout December runoff to win... doesn't that mean you should support the jungle primary?
If we had a closed primary and Graves ran in the new sixth district he’d have to first beat all Republicans by a majority vote.
Then when the general election is held he’d have to beat a Dem. If that election is held on the same day as the day we vote for president, it would be hard for him to win. But that’s not how it is currently scheduled. The General election in La. is scheduled in December when turnout is always lower.
1
Posted on 1/21/24 at 2:00 pm to doubleb
quote:
Then when the general election is held he’d have to beat a Dem. If that election is held on the same day as the day we vote for president, it would be hard for him to win. But that’s not how it is currently scheduled
I don't think Graves wouod get primaried in 2024, if that was even an option. So then he has to run agains the Dem in November, and probably loses due to higher turnout.
But, in an open primary, he can probably get enough of the vote to make a December runoff, then who knows, he might sneak in.
I also think that if Graves DID get primaried (if such a system existed) he would likely do worse than Graves on election day, not better. Because Graves would be primaried by someone who was to the right of him.
Maybe Graves is moderate enough to pull a few dem votes because maybe there are a few Dems out there that know Cleo is a fraud.
Maybe. Maybe not.
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