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re: Final football ranking top 5
Posted on 1/3/24 at 6:13 am to crossfire
Posted on 1/3/24 at 6:13 am to crossfire
quote:I guess this is what people were using to predict Oregon would beat Washington... both times.
I have no idea how they have Washington at 12 but they try to justify it in the article.
So that's why you need multiple formulas, because not every team is accurately read by each formula.
quote:Aha, that's the issue. Washington doesn't blow teams out. That win over Texas was something like their 9th 1-score game.
-Rankings and scores predictions are based on 20,000 simulations of a team’s season and games, using a combination of key analytics, including scores to date, quality of opponents, team talent, recruiting, and a team’s schedule.
-Teams are ranked not in order of talent like in other rankings, but by a projected point margin per game against an average team on a neutral field.
Meanwhile, Penn State is #5 because they get a bump from playing Michigan AND Ohio State, and another from scores because they slaughter the rest of the Big 10 by 20-30 pts a game.
I suppose "team talent and recruiting" is why Ole Miss and Mizzou aren't even on this list.
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