re: Soft landing: Did the Fed really somehow achieve the impossible?

In past big market dips the dip occurred months after the Fed pivots. Meaning the Fed pausing rate hikes or not cutting doesn't mean we're out of the woods. Not enough data to know if that's a coincidence or not, but if history repeats itself we are 5-10 months from the potential pain.

In September 2007 the Fed cut rates and did so fast, In October 2007 the market peaked then held steady until June 2008 when the crash started and bottomed in March 2009.

In 2000 it was less pronounced but happened four months after the Fed cut rates.

So in the last two rough recessions Fed pausing rate hikes and then cutting rates were followed by massive market dips. I certainly hope we can dodge it this time.

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