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re: Top 5 class incoming...

Posted on 7/30/23 at 10:39 pm to
Posted by JiminyCricket
Member since Jun 2017
3743 posts
Posted on 7/30/23 at 10:39 pm to
My favorite was that “if they shoot the moon” line.



You mean if they land the guys they lead for? With or without Mack, they likely land in that 5-7 range.
Posted by LifeAquatic
Member since Dec 2019
1811 posts
Posted on 7/30/23 at 10:48 pm to
quote:

You mean if they land the guys they lead for?


1) They literally don’t lead for Mack


2) i know it’s far beyond the grasp of most people on here but if you understood these things called “percentages” then you’d know that even if they DID lead for all those guys individually that wouldn’t make it particularly likely that they land all of them. If they’re sitting at 75% with each of McKinley/Mack/simmons/Durham (which is probably already overstating it) that only gives them a 31% chance of landing all 4. And even if they DID land all 4, it’s not enough for a top 5 class.


quote:

With or without Mack, they likely land in that 5-7 range.


Do you want to bet on this? I will bet you right now that if they don’t land Mack, they will not have a top 7 class. Seriously. I want to come back to this, because I am 100% positive that I’ll be correct.
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