re: Trump polling terribly in Georgia

quote:

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liked math up to calculus but that doesn’t seem like a bad poll for trump

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yes it is. by comparison.

its a toss up. only 600 lv. the -+ is about 5% if the lv are well selected.

the number outside the -+ is +10% for any R but trump.
generic candidate wins by 5% or so (10-(5%-+)).
normally people would reject the candidate whose under performance compared to generic is 5%.

eventually people who want to win the senate will get used to this feature and stop supporting trump.
the senate will go R with any candidates but trump.