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re: Hurricane Season - Unnamed Gulf Low Moving Inland - CSU Less Active Than Normal Season

Posted on 4/13/23 at 10:26 am to
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164657 posts
Posted on 4/13/23 at 10:26 am to
quote:

That can't be. That just can not be! They always forecast a hyperactive season. Always!

They pretty much just make an outlook based on ENSO and the other teleconnections. Transitioning (can you still use that word) to El-nino and a less active pattern.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
55543 posts
Posted on 4/13/23 at 10:33 am to
quote:

They pretty much just make an outlook based on ENSO and the other teleconnections. Transitioning (can you still use that word) to El-nino and a less active pattern.

Nope. The good folks of the OT have told me every pre-season forecast they ever do is for an above average hurricane season.

ETA: Klotzbach was on the Storm Front Freaks podcast a while back talking about the issues with their forecast for last season. Pretty good listen.
This post was edited on 4/13/23 at 10:41 am
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