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re: Why is it great pitching always beats great hitting?
Posted on 3/25/23 at 7:24 am to MrWiseGuy
Posted on 3/25/23 at 7:24 am to MrWiseGuy
quote:
if you had a great pitcher face an individually great hitter in 9 different plate appearances, the odds would stabilize more.
As evidenced by all those 18-13 MLB all-star game scores, oh wait
Posted on 3/25/23 at 7:34 am to FAP SAM
quote:
From 1903 through this year’s Divisional Series, there have been 1,214 playoff games and therefore 2,428 team scores (since every game has two teams). Of these, good hitting has been beaten 315 times and has done the beating 259 times. The former figure is almost 13 percent of all outcomes, while the latter is 10.7 percent. So, on average, for every 10 games that good hitting is shut down, there are 8 where good hitting slaughters. The advantage goes to pitching overall, but the advantage is not so great that a short series will hold true to that advantage.
Again, just an old baseball cliche. Very tough to quantify, but fangraphs does a good job here explaining it’s fairly split with an edge to pitching.
So great pitching will not always beat great hitting nor vice versa.
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