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LSU is 6-3 agaist the spread this season

Posted on 11/10/22 at 9:33 am
Posted by LSUstephen17
Houston
Member since Aug 2010
13112 posts
Posted on 11/10/22 at 9:33 am
And has covered the last 3 straight games….

LSU -3.5 vs FSU - LOSS
LSU -44.5 vs -Southern - LOSS
LSU -2.5 vs MSU - COVER
LSU -30 vs New Mexico - COVER
LSU -3.5 vs Auburn - COVER
LSU vs Tenn - LOSS
LSU vs UF - COVER
LSU vs Ole Miss - COVER
LSU vs Bama - COVER

I’ve tried for days to pick apart another Vegas busted line at LSU -3 at Arkansas while KJ Jefferson is still not 100% and questionable to play. He was a big part of their loss to Liberty so knowing he’s still not in full health is just another reason to ensure another LSU covers again this week. LSU by double digits this is such am easy pick and free money.
This post was edited on 11/10/22 at 9:37 am
Posted by Odysseus32
Member since Dec 2009
9734 posts
Posted on 11/10/22 at 9:40 am to
quote:

LSU by double digits this is such am easy pick and free money.


I wish people would stop saying this.

If you're sure of the bet, that's great. But saying it's free money is stupid. There's no such thing as free money, ever, and Vegas knows what they're doing.

Unless you have a better model for predicting the outcomes of games than oddsmakers, you are fighting a losing battle.

Everything is "free money" until it isn't.
Posted by VeryReauxna_ish
Your mom’s house
Member since Dec 2020
2738 posts
Posted on 11/10/22 at 9:42 am to
We didn’t cover vs Auburn. It was -8.
Posted by 314stunna
NYC
Member since Aug 2015
944 posts
Posted on 11/10/22 at 9:42 am to
They are going to play their back up QB and he's fast as frick. It's going to be a close game.
Posted by Solo Cam
Member since Sep 2015
34696 posts
Posted on 11/10/22 at 9:45 am to
quote:

LSU by double digits this is such am easy pick and free money.
Then screenshot your ticket.

People need to stfu with this 11am kick at Arkansas in the 30's will be an easy win.
Posted by lsutigerelizabeth
Houma
Member since May 2022
1304 posts
Posted on 11/10/22 at 9:51 am to
It’s 3.5 now
Posted by TeddyPadillac
Member since Dec 2010
29724 posts
Posted on 11/10/22 at 9:54 am to
quote:

There's no such thing as free money, ever, and Vegas knows what they're doing.



you'd be wrong.

DraftKings has run these odds boost for NBA games a few times now. I've bet the max of $25 or $50 on every single one, and hit on every single one.
It's free money.
For instance, first game of the season, Durant to score 20+ points boosted to +125. Free money.
Another night, Giannis and Durant to score 25+ boosted to +100. Free money.
Another night. Durant and Luka to score 25+ points boosted to +100. Free money.
Sunday night, Ja to score 20+ points and Mahomes to throw for 225 yards boosted to +100. Free money.
Last night, Tatum, Ja, Durant and Lebron to score 20+ points boosted to +100. Free money.



Vegas doesn't give a shite who they think will win or lose. They care about where the line needs to be to get even money on both sides, plain and simple. Vegas doesn't truly set the line, the betting public does. It's why it moves all week.
Posted by LSUstephen17
Houston
Member since Aug 2010
13112 posts
Posted on 11/10/22 at 10:04 am to
It depends on when you bought in. The line fluctuated from LSU -7.5 to -3.5

At -3.5 LSU covers so this is a toss up. If you bet when it opened you lost. Correct!

LINK
This post was edited on 11/10/22 at 12:12 pm
Posted by extremelsu
Member since Aug 2013
5771 posts
Posted on 11/10/22 at 10:09 am to
Southern was -42 at kickoff and we covered..either way we covered

Dont remember the auburn spread
This post was edited on 11/10/22 at 10:11 am
Posted by bailey4442
Member since Aug 2009
450 posts
Posted on 11/10/22 at 10:14 am to
The free money was Adam Miller 15+ points last night at +320
Posted by LSUfan4444
Member since Mar 2004
56622 posts
Posted on 11/10/22 at 10:22 am to
You always want to bet teams that are playing above their point spread value like LSU. There is not free money or locks but -3 this weekend is definitely the smart bet.
Posted by LSUstephen17
Houston
Member since Aug 2010
13112 posts
Posted on 11/10/22 at 12:12 pm to
Agreed! I stayed patient but still loaded up on this game. Went half bet on spread half moneyline
Posted by LSUstephen17
Houston
Member since Aug 2010
13112 posts
Posted on 11/10/22 at 12:16 pm to
quote:

Southern was -42 at kickoff and we covered..either way we covered Dont remember the auburn spread


I got all my info from Vegas Insider so you can argue with them
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