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re: ESPN matchup predictor for the remainder of the season…
Posted on 9/29/22 at 10:26 am to GeauxTigers247
Posted on 9/29/22 at 10:26 am to GeauxTigers247
quote:
The match-up predictor is based off ESPN FPI. So, FPI shows LSU at 10-2 on a game by game basis, but has them finishing with 8 wins on the season? I’d be interested to see how they calculate that
If you add up the win probabilities, it comes out to 5.25 more wins. Which would be 8.25 on the season.
If a model predicts a team to have a 51% percent chance to win every game it plays, that does not mean it thinks it will go 12-0.
Posted on 9/29/22 at 10:40 am to The Seaward
quote:
If you add up the win probabilities, it comes out to 5.25 more wins. Which would be 8.25 on the season.
Thanks for the explanation.
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