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re: Jobs number blows out expectations - 528k vs 268k expectation, unemployment falls to 3.5%
Posted on 8/5/22 at 5:22 pm to ned nederlander
Posted on 8/5/22 at 5:22 pm to ned nederlander
quote:
Just not sure what the fed can do to reopen China and its production.
China is done as a major US supplier and will continue to disconnect. Geopolitics will end it completely sooner or later.
Posted on 8/5/22 at 6:46 pm to tiggerthetooth
Well when the extra jobs are taking because more people are worming multiple and the labor participation rate removes those who are no longer even looking for a job numbers will look different
Posted on 8/5/22 at 9:44 pm to tiggerthetooth
quote:
China is done as a major US supplier and will continue to disconnect.
This is so far from my area it’s comical, but I suspect that disconnection would take 10+ year to execute. Companies exist to maximize profit for shareholders. As soon as China opens back up and offers companies cost savings in manufacturing and the supply change, they will reconnect.
Posted on 8/6/22 at 5:03 pm to tiggerthetooth
quote:
China is done as a major US supplier and will continue to disconnect.
Saw something interesting in an article on the whatever they are calling it now spending bill on this point:
“Automakers and consumers likely won't be able to take advantage of this tax credit over the next few years. At the insistence of Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin, the tax credit was written in a way so that automakers are forced to move their EV supply chains away from China and to the US and countries where the US has free trade agreements. Vehicles must be built in North America, and EV batteries must also not come from countries like China.
As a result, US automakers likely won't be able to offer the credit in the next few years as they try to build up their domestic supply chains, Democratic Sen. Debbie Stabenow of Michigan said.“
I assume that restriction has loopholes big enough to drive Tesla through, but interesting nonetheless.
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