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re: Realistic Expectations

Posted on 7/18/22 at 2:58 pm to
Posted by Bronc
Member since Sep 2018
12646 posts
Posted on 7/18/22 at 2:58 pm to
Here's how I sort of see the season as it currently stands:

Tier 1A: Contenders who are unlikely to go all out to win the Reg Season but favorites to win it all
- Clippers
- Warriors

Tier 1B: Contenders that may or may not aim for a top seed
- Phoenix

Tier 2: Borderline Contenders that will aim for a top seed
- Denver
- Dallas
- Memphis(JJJ injury could fluctuate them)



Tier 3: Teams poised to make a Grizzlies like Regular Season leap:
- New Orleans
- Minny

Tier 4: Wildcard(could be mid tier, could miss the playoffs)
- Portland
- LAL

--------------------------------

Tier 5: Play In Ambitions:
- Sac
- OKC

Tier 6: Tankies
- SAS
- Hou

Tier 7: Utah
- Utah


Pels have a wide spread based on injuries(though so does everyone, really), but I think when you break it down, there are really 5-6 teams that will be actively pushing(and capable of achieving) for a top seed. And of those those 5-6, Pels have the best depth, and arguably the strongest starting 5 when healthy.

I truly do feel, that barring major injuries to the core, 1-5 seed is very much more likely than not. And it would not shock me at all if we look up after the all star break and see N.O. in the mix for the first seed. When healthy, it is as well built and well motivated as any roster in the league for the regular season.



This post was edited on 7/18/22 at 3:04 pm
Posted by TeddyPadillac
Member since Dec 2010
26851 posts
Posted on 7/19/22 at 7:54 am to
I think how you laid it out Bronc is about right as far as each team in the West goes, assuming relatively good health for everyone.
I think Denver could rise to the top if they are truly healthy, and im talking more for Murray than MPJ. With how Jokic is leading that team, adding two quasi all-star players to that team will make them very dangerous. I think they are a better team than Phoenix when at full strength.



My realistic expectations for this team should be to win 50 games with a healthy Zion and BI. I've been saying that for about 3 years now. This is the season i expect to start the rise to annual title contention. Last year was a very small appetizer to that rise. I'm not going to say i expect to make the 2nd round, even though that would be nice, but it's completely matchup dependent. I mean you could get a 4 seed and have to play the Clippers b/c they had some injuries but are at full strength come playoff time. I can't expect to win that series, but you can definitely show you belong in the conversation even with a round 1 loss.


and i'll say this. I think our team for the future is pretty much set, especially next year once Zion's extension kicks in. We are going to go as far as BI and Zion can take us. I think we are going to see a very fun run over the next 4 years at minimum, and hopefully longer. Role players will matter, sure, but when it comes to winning playoff series, it comes down to BI and Zion willing their ways to victories. We'll see what they are made of. It's going to be fun.
Dyson can be a very big wild card in all of this, even if he's just a very good role player. Herb is just a role player, and his impact was huge.
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
40291 posts
Posted on 7/19/22 at 9:16 am to
quote:

Tier 2: Borderline Contenders that will aim for a top seed - Denver - Dallas - Memphis(JJJ injury could fluctuate them)
not sold on Dallas being in our way. Luka is awesome but that playoff run was kinda fluky. Just a hunch but I don’t think the roster they have is going to work
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