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re: Georgia poll: Walker leads Warnock by 4, Kemp and Perdue beating Abrams
Posted on 4/6/22 at 3:47 pm to TigerFanatic99
Posted on 4/6/22 at 3:47 pm to TigerFanatic99
quote:
If Abrams is only polling down 4 or 6% going into November she's going to be the next governor. I think she needs to he down by 9% or 10% for Kemp or Purdue to win.
The last election may or may not have shifted the narrative there, but traditionally a 4-6% lead in Georgia would be very strong.
Perdue-Nunn is one that bounced around a good bit, with Nunn leading by 2-3 in several polls in October. Perdue ended up polling 2-4 points ahead in the end, won by 8 or so. Kemp Abrams in 2018 had Kemp up by less than 2 most of the way, often around 1%, and that was the margin (1.5%ish).
1
Posted on 4/6/22 at 4:10 pm to Pettifogger
quote:
The last election may or may not have shifted the narrative there, but traditionally a 4-6% lead in Georgia would be very strong.
Perdue-Nunn is one that bounced around a good bit, with Nunn leading by 2-3 in several polls in October. Perdue ended up polling 2-4 points ahead in the end, won by 8 or so. Kemp Abrams in 2018 had Kemp up by less than 2 most of the way, often around 1%, and that was the margin (1.5%ish).
To be clear, I was referring to fraud. The Republican governor candidate needs a 9% or 10% lead in the polls to overcome the window that fraud can mask.
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