quote:
Sullivan and Biden are afraid of escalation not because Russia has nukes. They are afraid of escalating things in Ukraine because if Russia decides to go all in and launch additional mobilization those troops would hit the battlefield in September or October. Ukraine might not fall but it will have setbacks in that scenario and that would be the final nail in Biden’s reelection coffin. Sullivan and Biden only care about getting Ukraine past the election.

That may indeed be the case... and they're wrong. American voters don't care about anything that is not personal to them... just the economy, and for some abortion... even the border thing is not as important to people who don't live close to the border. Even inflation does not register with people who have enough money that it doesn't matter (and since that class owns stock and inflation is benefitting the stock market and certain types of savings accounts, they might be happy about it). The polls I've seen the war in Ukraine is not in the top 10 issues for Democrats but the ones who do care mostly say there needs to be more aid, who would be Biden's voters, and among Republicans the majority wants the funding of Ukraine to stop. Also, even among young Democrats and college students, Palestine actually rates very low on issues they care about and Jobs/Economy is the overwhelming winner... so we have to consider the "online megaphone/media focus" effect at play... Twitter in particular was something that journalists were obsessed with because it made them seemingly more powerful, and activists were addicted to it... but very few Americans used Twitter... or care what's being said on it, but it was such a focus for the media that you'd think every citizen in the country was glued to it 24/7.

This post was edited on 5/13/24 at 2:48 pm