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Orgeron's Judgement
Posted on 1/1/09 at 10:54 am
Posted on 1/1/09 at 10:54 am
You can't blame Orgeron for wanting to get the highest price for his abilities and skill. You can question, whether that judgment is Penny Wise and Pound Foolish.
Orgeron is going to a situation that can be described as unstable at best with an unproven new Coach. The risk that the situation in Tennessee could be unstable quickly is two years. After all, Fulmer went from being in the SEC Championship game to being fired in one year. The folks at UT have no patience at all. By allowing Chavis to leave, there is no allegiance to any Assistants, no matter how productive or long term.
LSU on the other hand has been stable for the last 8 years with proven head coaches, a stable recruiting base, and many of its Assistants moving on to promising Head Coaching or prospective Head Coaching positions. The up side seems to be much greater for someone like Orgeron who seems to have higher aspirations. Not to mention Miles has shown tremendous compassion and loyalty to help his assistants find new positions, even when they are in jeopardy. Not to mention Orgeron has a supposed sentiment to be at LSU.
Looking at risk and the cash stream that can result from risk, is it better to get $500,000 for 4 years or $650,000 for 2 years? It is very likely Orgeron could lose that income after 2 years; the UT fans want quick results and will not settle for 3 years of rebuilding. UT has not had to rebuild for the last 20 years and they will go through a few coaches before they understand the process.
Quite frankly, the uncertainty at UT makes the risk to lose the cash stream greater at UT than LSU. Not to mention the intangibles, whether emotional, personal, or professional that is available at LSU for Orgeron.
Money being the difference, is the risk minimized by the difference in money? Probably not, and that is where you have to question Orgeron's judgment.
Orgeron is going to a situation that can be described as unstable at best with an unproven new Coach. The risk that the situation in Tennessee could be unstable quickly is two years. After all, Fulmer went from being in the SEC Championship game to being fired in one year. The folks at UT have no patience at all. By allowing Chavis to leave, there is no allegiance to any Assistants, no matter how productive or long term.
LSU on the other hand has been stable for the last 8 years with proven head coaches, a stable recruiting base, and many of its Assistants moving on to promising Head Coaching or prospective Head Coaching positions. The up side seems to be much greater for someone like Orgeron who seems to have higher aspirations. Not to mention Miles has shown tremendous compassion and loyalty to help his assistants find new positions, even when they are in jeopardy. Not to mention Orgeron has a supposed sentiment to be at LSU.
Looking at risk and the cash stream that can result from risk, is it better to get $500,000 for 4 years or $650,000 for 2 years? It is very likely Orgeron could lose that income after 2 years; the UT fans want quick results and will not settle for 3 years of rebuilding. UT has not had to rebuild for the last 20 years and they will go through a few coaches before they understand the process.
Quite frankly, the uncertainty at UT makes the risk to lose the cash stream greater at UT than LSU. Not to mention the intangibles, whether emotional, personal, or professional that is available at LSU for Orgeron.
Money being the difference, is the risk minimized by the difference in money? Probably not, and that is where you have to question Orgeron's judgment.
Posted on 1/1/09 at 11:31 am to randyb
I have never questioned The Orgeron's judgment...I always assume (and am proven accurate) that it is ill-founded.
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