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re: BOIL has become predictable

Posted on 8/13/14 at 10:05 pm to
Posted by TigerBite
Dallas
Member since Feb 2004
2535 posts
Posted on 8/13/14 at 10:05 pm to
It has to be below 70 in order for it to prevent the 17th straight week of injections above the 5-year norm. Pretty bearish from that point of view.

Overall, I just think it points to how responsive gas production can be.
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10229 posts
Posted on 8/14/14 at 8:08 am to
I agree.

I also speculate about rig count. I don't believe this includes oil rigs taking out gas.

I'm curious about the reaction today. It sure seemed like yesterday institutional investors already knew which way the wind was blowing. Having said that, traders are fleeing the trade big time based on OI.
Posted by TigerBite
Dallas
Member since Feb 2004
2535 posts
Posted on 8/14/14 at 8:36 am to
quote:

I also speculate about rig count. I don't believe this includes oil rigs taking out gas.


The associated gas has been a killer. It's amazing how much more efficient the rigs/completions have become.

Looks like little action until 9:30
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10229 posts
Posted on 8/14/14 at 9:30 am to
78. Things likely to get crazy today.
Posted by TheBigHurt
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
2378 posts
Posted on 8/15/14 at 9:48 am to
Nice surge this morning for DGAZ.
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10229 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 4:07 pm to
LINK

Maybe a bit of downward pressure tomorrow? If so, I'm going to load up more Dec/Jan long.

We'll know before the report due to leakage by scum bag gubmit employee
Posted by TigerBite
Dallas
Member since Feb 2004
2535 posts
Posted on 8/21/14 at 8:15 am to
Steet's expecting 83 this morning. Lot of estimates going lower though
Posted by rintintin
Life is Life
Member since Nov 2008
16168 posts
Posted on 8/21/14 at 8:34 am to
I'm out of DGAZ after it jumped back up last week. Waiting for the opportunity to go long.

What's the best route to go long NG? UNG? BOIL?
Posted by TheBigHurt
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
2378 posts
Posted on 8/21/14 at 9:56 am to
UGAZ does the exact opposite of DGAZ.
Posted by rintintin
Life is Life
Member since Nov 2008
16168 posts
Posted on 8/21/14 at 9:57 am to
Ooooh I like that
Posted by L S Usetheforce
Member since Jun 2004
22752 posts
Posted on 8/21/14 at 9:58 am to
When you see BOIL at 32.......you can play them or UGAZ
Posted by TheBigHurt
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
2378 posts
Posted on 8/21/14 at 10:02 am to
Injection of 88 Bcf.
Posted by eng08
Member since Jan 2013
5997 posts
Posted on 8/21/14 at 10:05 am to
Would you buy options or the actual stock?
Posted by L S Usetheforce
Member since Jun 2004
22752 posts
Posted on 8/21/14 at 11:30 am to
I've bought the etf 3 straight years
Posted by diat150
Louisiana
Member since Jun 2005
43500 posts
Posted on 8/21/14 at 12:47 pm to
quote:

Injection of 88 Bcf.


so I thought with higher injection the price of kold should go up?
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10229 posts
Posted on 8/22/14 at 8:30 am to
I'm going to naked sell to open UNG $20 weekly puts for about $30 per contract.

My risk is that UNG gets put to me at $20 less premium collected.

Posted by sneakytiger
Member since Oct 2007
2471 posts
Posted on 8/22/14 at 11:29 am to
August contracts?
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10229 posts
Posted on 8/22/14 at 1:33 pm to
August and Sept weeklies. As many as I can get sold until the 9/10 weekly expiry.
Posted by sneakytiger
Member since Oct 2007
2471 posts
Posted on 8/25/14 at 9:28 am to
Nice
Posted by TheBigHurt
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
2378 posts
Posted on 8/27/14 at 2:54 pm to
Force, you still long? Also, what y'all expecting for injection report tomorrow?
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