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re: Hurricane Maria - Visiting the Outer Banks before Moving OTS

Posted on 9/18/17 at 5:48 am to
Posted by Ghost of Colby
Alberta, overlooking B.C.
Member since Jan 2009
11337 posts
Posted on 9/18/17 at 5:48 am to
The most recent advisory noted "considerable lighting" near the center. Looks like it's going to rapidly intensify today, just like most forecasts predicted.
Posted by tipup
Member since Sep 2005
1649 posts
Posted on 9/18/17 at 6:47 am to
quote:

How do you solve a problem like Maria?


You grab her by the P.
Posted by Thracken13
Aft Cargo Hold of Serenity
Member since Feb 2010
16124 posts
Posted on 9/18/17 at 6:59 am to
Posted by VABuckeye
Naples, FL
Member since Dec 2007
35629 posts
Posted on 9/18/17 at 7:03 am to
This looks very bad for the BVI and USVI again, right?
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
62929 posts
Posted on 9/18/17 at 7:06 am to
quote:

This looks very bad for the BVI and USVI again, right?

And ST. Maarten, too.
Heaven help these folks.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Dallas TX
Member since Jan 2016
40253 posts
Posted on 9/18/17 at 7:13 am to
Looks like she indeed went through one helluva RI event overnight holy shite.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19824 posts
Posted on 9/18/17 at 7:15 am to
On the verge of Cat 3 this morning. The recon data is pretty surprising.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Dallas TX
Member since Jan 2016
40253 posts
Posted on 9/18/17 at 7:16 am to
968mb

She was 986-983 last night....

Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
90945 posts
Posted on 9/18/17 at 7:20 am to
110 mph sustained winds. Maria gonna be a bitch
Posted by msutiger
Shreveport
Member since Jul 2008
69676 posts
Posted on 9/18/17 at 7:38 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 4/13/23 at 10:50 pm
Posted by 50_Tiger
Dallas TX
Member since Jan 2016
40253 posts
Posted on 9/18/17 at 7:41 am to
quote:

Thankfully Jose will likely keep her away from the mainland



So far.

You are hoping that ridge pulls her away. There were models that took here into the E. Coast and/or Georgia/SCar line.

edit: Were talking about 5 days + though right now. Nobody really knows.

edit2: Looks like they are diving in again now.
This post was edited on 9/18/17 at 7:43 am
Posted by Loungefly85
Lafayette
Member since Jul 2016
7930 posts
Posted on 9/18/17 at 7:50 am to
Excuse my ignorance over the matter, but when PR takes a direct hit, how much of the rescue and recovery is the responsibility of the US Govmt and FEMA?
Posted by otowntiger
O-Town
Member since Jan 2004
15673 posts
Posted on 9/18/17 at 7:52 am to
One positive note, looking further down the road it is looking less and less likely that at least Florida and the Bahamas will take a hit this time around. It is still very bad for the NE Caribbean islands, P.R. and possible D.R. Making me almost nauseous for those people and what they could be facing in the next couple of days. I really do hope and pray it misses them somehow or at least is not as bad as it is looking right now.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Dallas TX
Member since Jan 2016
40253 posts
Posted on 9/18/17 at 7:54 am to
Her tropical Storm force winds go out pretty darn far from center.


What is going on this season? These hurricanes are taking steroids???
Posted by someLSUdoosh
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2016
882 posts
Posted on 9/18/17 at 7:59 am to
quote:

What is going on this season? These hurricanes are taking steroids???


Guess the prediction of "This year is going to be a bad season" finally came through.

Im trying to get in touch with family on St. John now seeing what they are doing to prepare.

Wondering if the recuse effort people are helping them secure things down or if they are just still trying to piece things back together after Irma.
Posted by VABuckeye
Naples, FL
Member since Dec 2007
35629 posts
Posted on 9/18/17 at 8:03 am to
quote:

Im trying to get in touch with family on St. John now seeing what they are doing to prepare.


Why didn't they leave? Nearly all of my friends have left St. John. They'll be without power for months and food and water is currently being rationed and their supply chain is about to take a serious hit. After this hits who knows how bad it will be there?
quote:


or if they are just still trying to piece things back together after Irma.


It isn't even to this point yet. It's a complete shitshow.
This post was edited on 9/18/17 at 8:04 am
Posted by Homesick Tiger
Greenbrier, AR
Member since Nov 2006
54235 posts
Posted on 9/18/17 at 8:05 am to
quote:

Thankfully Jose will likely keep her away from the mainland


Hope so. My wife is flying down to Daytona Beach in two days to spend a week with some friends.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19824 posts
Posted on 9/18/17 at 8:06 am to
quote:


One positive note, looking further down the road it is looking less and less likely that at least Florida and the Bahamas will take a hit this time around. It is still very bad for the NE Caribbean islands, P.R. and possible D.R. Making me almost nauseous for those people and what they could be facing in the next couple of days. I really do hope and pray it misses them somehow or at least is not as bad as it is looking right now.


1st, I fat fingered a downvote when trying to upvote

2nd, yes, the model trends over night were encouraging but I have little faith in the future track of Jose. In the short-term, the ridge to the NE will determine the track over the next couple of days. Then beyond that, Jose throws a wrench into the usual ULL & ridge issues.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Dallas TX
Member since Jan 2016
40253 posts
Posted on 9/18/17 at 8:16 am to
966mb ( -2 since last pass )
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
85188 posts
Posted on 9/18/17 at 8:34 am to
Not sure if this was a suspect drop or what, but 109kt at the surface?



125MPH winds.
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