Favorite team:Vanderbilt 
Location:
Biography:
Interests:
Occupation:
Number of Posts:51
Registered on:2/5/2025
Online Status:Not Online

Forum
Message
The tax rate is definitely not correlated to birth rate. Use your head for a minute: the highest taxes were in the first half of the 20th century and have steadily decreased since then.

COL, on the other hand, could be something there.
There’s no way it can compare to X in traffic. Truth Social is the closer comp - which if I were betting I’d say Truth has more users than Bluesky.

Edit: looks like a lost bet, according to a couple quick searches.
Rogan is usually a pretty good barometer of current climate. Ignore at your own peril.
I should also state that I wish President Trump the best of luck in keeping America great. Just because I disagree with the method doesn’t mean I don’t want the country to be great.
I did.

I believed when I was told to read Project 2025 and decided I did not want to vote for those policies. I believed President Trump when he stated he wanted to balance global trade through tariffs; I did not and still do not think tariffs are an intelligent approach to American trade.

I hope the DNC in its current form loses every foreseeable election if the best they can do is what they put up in 2024. If you’re going to install a candidate instead of run a legitimate primary, you better pick the right candidate.

Narrator: They did not pick the right candidate. Wasn’t even close.

I’m a proud economic progressive. My primary issues are healthcare reform, workers’ rights, societal safety nets, big business regulation and someone to take a look at universal basic income. Big Bernie fan, big Yang fan. Happy to support AOC when she runs.
I think the more precise concept is hypocrisy as opposed to projection.
The real issue lies not in the quality of their messaging, but in the content. I think Democrats could gain some popularity with the young male demographic if they focused on what to say and not how to say it.

If your platform doesn’t offer any content for a demographic, you need to re-evaluate your platform or stop throwing money at a fool’s errand.

I wager young men would listen to a message about healthcare, job creation and workers’ rights.
It means they’re going to feed years of social media and podcast content into an LLM and hope the AI engine teaches them how to word their tweets and, heaven forbid, speeches.

It is yet another example of how the DNC misunderstands a wide swath of the populace.
Well this seems like a gross overreaction to whatever is currently upsetting you about the administration.

re: Harold Ford Jr.

Posted by anchor_down on 5/28/25 at 6:12 am to
We are not talking about what I believe regarding Biden’s mental faculties. We are talking about the 2020 election and our opposing claims about its legitimacy.

You’re going to be sorely disappointed when not even a whiff of this is ever surfaced by a federal official.

re: Harold Ford Jr.

Posted by anchor_down on 5/27/25 at 7:37 pm to
quote:

Once 2020 election become 100% official that it was stolen.. expect 2028 to go to Trump. They can’t get caught stealing an election and everything just turns back to normal.. their punishment will be another Trump term
This will never come to pass. It was not stolen.

The rest is a comical extrapolation.
quote:

What happens when your "AI accountant" fricks up and there is another Enron or WorldCom? Who is responsible for the AI? Who gets sued or is held liable?
The company I work for has both a Responsible AI team (think HR for [AI solutions instead] of [people]) and an AI Risk team (fleet of lawyers).

I’m sure they have better answers than me, but it is being addressed. More stringent government regulations for AI use might be a viable answer to stemming some of the job replacement.
quote:

Why does there need to be a government plan for this? Let the market figure it out.
Plenty of folks still waiting for the market to figure out their offshore outsourced jobs. This is outsourcing on a greater scale.
quote:

AI will always need a babysitter.

But will it need 5 babysitters?
To be precise, “accounting” was a stand-in phrase that I should have really thought for more than 2 minutes about before using it. I was fishing for a better way to describe “desk jockey” and didn’t want to use the term “accountant”.

What I really meant was “analyst,” which could be an accountant, a medical billing coder, a supply chain middle manager, etc…

You are right that there are MANY judgment calls to make as an accountant. What happens when you pare down the time worked into only judgment calls, instead of having to deal with all the other slow, inefficient work that an accountant does throughout a day? When AI analytics engines handle 90% of a job, leaving a human to parse the tough stuff? Do you think firms, companies and the government will keep as many accountants on staff?

Job replacement won’t be 100%, I strongly doubt that. Hell, 90% reduction across the board is pretty extreme too - I use the 1:10 analogy because we are using that figure in two current project estimates.

But let’s talk about just 50% reduction for now. If 1 employee can do the job of 2, what do you think the decision becomes for an entity interested in reducing labor spend?
As to the topic at hand, moving on from the possibles and probables, I think the solution has to come from a combination of the government and private entities.

Probably a massive corporate AI tax on new profit margins to fund UBI. Or some sort of return to pensions at scale, incentivized by the government for corporations to replace a percentage of the income of the employees they are removing via efficiency.

Society needs to find the right incentive for big businesses, but I don’t know what it is.
Creative content is imagination let loose. Engineering and science is imagination studied and reproduced.

The future might not be exactly like the authors write it up, but to not heed it as a warning is perilous.

I’m glad you’re set to retire peacefully UtahBaw.
1 worker to verify the output of AI that is replacing the job performed by 10 previous workers doing the same job.

The only thing I’m saying right now is to encourage your kids away from accounting jobs.

And I don’t only mean CPA/AP/AR accounting. Not GAAP accounting. “Accounting” in the definition of “I check spreadsheets and databases for numbers and forward an answer to my boss.”

If there is a data signal to be interpreted, corporations will digitize the signal capture and use AI to analyze it. At a startling rate of replacement.

Edit: let’s just pretend I used the word “analyst” up above instead of accounting.
quote:

quote:We're talking about possibly every white collar jobs being obsolete within a couple years

no


Correct, because there must be a human in the loop. But when you only need 1 worker for every 10…
I work in AI and can attest that the scope, scale and timeline in relation to job replacement are all concerning. I expect this to not be a 100 year problem, but more like <20 years until we see massive job market cuts.
Hate against the opposition doesn’t drive votes like engagement with your candidate does.

Proven in 2016 and 2024. COVID had a lot to do with 2020.
I’ve been considering the fact that who he picks is his agenda.

re: How Trump negotiates

Posted by anchor_down on 4/23/25 at 7:42 am to
quote:

Now.. the conservative candidate in Canada is now dominating the polls
I don’t see this indicated in a cursory look at Google results. Whatcha got?
A couple of points about this survey:

Conducted in 2017 (pre-COVID, pre-summer of protests and riots, pre-1/6/21)

1000 Americans surveyed. I doubt that’s a large enough population to accurately categorize by the map lines they used.

I expect this survey to look mostly the same +5% across the board if you polled the same people today.

However, I would also expect a need to draw finer lines around regions if there were an actual large enough sample size to accurately represent the population this study purports to analyze.
Do you have information I don’t? The infograph agrees with your anecdotal evidence. What are you upset about here?
Middle Atlantic (NY) 75% locked doors
Midwest (SD, ND) 70% locked doors

I would advise critical thinking next time
Overall Night 2 cleaned house.

AJ Styles vs Logan Paul was the best of the weekend. I absolutely loved that match and what they tried with the drone footage too. They will figure that out into really cool stuff soon enough and then you’ll see it in lots of places. Wrestling will be worse off without AJ Styles, but let’s appreciate the time we have.

Cena vs Cody was about the WWE Universe giving John his flowers. It was pitch perfect til Travis Scott’s music hit. If you just erase that and still have everything as is, it would have been fantastic, given the context of a Cena retirement tour. Only thing I wish were different was that he still ran to the ring for one last time at Mania.

Enjoyed that the Women’s Triple Threat opened and brought a good match to kick it off.

4-way was very well done compared to most clusters. Bron is so young and so good already. Finn and Penta were good ring generals and Dom looks good with the belt.

Street Fight was excellent for its place on the card - if it were 3 minutes shorter with one or two more car crash spots it would have been phenomenal, but that’s just nitpicking. I just love big hoss car crashes where they go 300% until they’re gassed.

THE MAN HAS COME BACK AROUND. Safe return match for Becky Lynch that was better than two or three of the Night 1 matches too. She is one of my faves of the last decade, both divisions. Becks got herself wrestling ready but she has lost a lot of muscle.

4 stars. I’d recommend to others a rewatch of a few of the matches for sure.
She has come a long way from her AEW debut. Still a goddess of strength and the charisma drips off of her presence, but now she works with a little bit of pace and has much better timing.
That’s what is great about an art genre: you like what you like and can enjoy it any way you choose.