Favorite team:Army 
Location:far side of the moon
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Number of Posts:2089
Registered on:12/4/2007
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Google pays Apple $20B a year to be the default search engine on a 2B installed user base. One of the hardest things for a tech company to do is scale at an affordable CAC. It’s the reason why so many fintech companies ultimately sell themselves to banks. It’s not out of the realm of possibilities that whoever’s AI shows the most promise will be merged, bought, licensed, or even pay to access the 2B Apple users.

re: Travel Insurance for bigger trips

Posted by Hand on 8/21/25 at 8:53 am to
We're about to make our first international trip with another to follow not that long after. I wish that would have known about the annual coverages. I purchased the individual trip coverage so I paid way too much.

I don't necessarily need trip reimbursement. I mainly want the medical. After reading this thread, I looked into the travel medical coverage from BCBS and UHC. For the future, that's the way I'm leaning.

re: Osaka area trip plans

Posted by Hand on 8/21/25 at 8:47 am to
This is a very well done video on side trips from Kyoto and Osaka. Her stuff focuses less on cities which is good if that's what you're looking for.

10 Unique Trips from Kyoto & Osaka! Hidden Gems You've Never Heard Of (I guarantee it!)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kmiOlUPZNvM
Should be:

R* + inflation reading(s) = ~3.50%
Taylor Rule(s) = ~3.50%

Instead:

R* + ATSIX "Expectations" = ~4.50%

Add to that Gundlach's view of Wu and Xia's ‘What was the effect of quantitative easing?’ whereas every $200B of addition and subtraction via quantitative easing and quantitative tightening is equivalent to about another 25bps. About 2.2T in roll-off so that's another 275bps in shadow Fed Funds rate hikes.

So we should probably be closer to 3.50% but he has us effectively running closer to 7.25%?
quote:

Speaking of surprised he wasnt there.


I’m pretty sure he was there. He was sitting behind Big Ben during one of the games. The broadcast never mentioned him.

re: The Downfall of Southwest

Posted by Hand on 5/31/25 at 8:39 pm to
The only advantage that they have left is that they still offer more direct flights than the others.
Where’s the call for “paying their fair share” now? Just trying to give them what they’ve asked for.

re: Trivia: Which politician said this?

Posted by Hand on 5/21/25 at 10:42 am to
Those two things do not equal each other.

re: Warren Buffet on tariffs

Posted by Hand on 5/4/25 at 9:01 pm to
It's funny how he had the opposite opinion and even wrote about it in Forbes in 2003. Heck, if you search for it, the article is hosted on the Berkshire website. I'm guessing he changed his mind circa 2016 even though all of the tariffs enacted then were kept by the subsequent administration.

re: Iceland cruise on Viking this July

Posted by Hand on 5/4/25 at 8:39 pm to
I'm taking this trip soon, too. Bookmarking for future.

re: Fairhope, AL

Posted by Hand on 4/28/25 at 8:49 am to
Dinner at The Hope Farm was one of my favorite meals.
quote:

New rules allow you to roll it into a Roth IRA up to 35,000. Still have to abide by the yearly contribution limits though. That would be a great start to his retirement.


Because of the changes, I'm about to set up a 529 with my wife as beneficiary and she'll set a 529 with me as the beneficiary. We currently don't have kids. If we have kids, we transfer the beneficiary and it's all good. If we end up not having kids, we'll do the roll-over. If there's any excess funds, we can take some classes or something.

$3,000 contributions for the first three years @ 8% annual returns gets us $25,000 after 15 years
$3,000 contributions for the first for three years @ 10% annual returns gets us $35,000 after 15 years

re: Hotel rec Denver

Posted by Hand on 10/7/24 at 9:27 pm to
Four Seasons or Hotel Teatro

It's a half-mile from the arena and right across the street from the performing arts center (if you want to do something the other night).

30A -- Off season so it will be cheaper. Some things may be closed so check ahead of time. Do Rosemary Beach. Stay at The Pearl. Eat at La Crema (at night) and Pescado's (at lunch). Enjoy sitting and sipping on the beach. Go to Seaside for a bit. Don’t know how the hurricane affected the area.

Ocean Springs, MS -- Eat. Drink. Shop. Some live music. Drive the coast in and out. Stuff to do in Biloxi if you get bored.

Fairhope, AL -- Fairhope and The Grand are pretty nice around Christmas time so maybe all of the stuff will still be up. No shortage of good places to eat. Hope Farms was excellent. I like The Grand, but the rooms are in desperate need of updating. You might be better off staying at an AirBnb. Or stay at The Battlehouse in Mobile and just drive down to Fairhope for the day. You'd be able to catch stuff in Mobile, too. Downtown Mobile is surprisingly walkable.

Grapevine, TX -- Stay at Hotel Vin. Walk Main Street. More things to do indoors if you think the temperature will be an issue. Texas Star Dinner Theater, Texas Shooting Experience, Meow Wolf, and escape rooms nearby.

Canton, TX -- Go to Canton's First Monday Trade Days. Stay in Terrell or Tyler/Longview. It takes the three days just to walk and "see" everything.

Natchitoches, LA -- Typical long-weekend stuff.

I haven’t been there yet, but Natchez, MS, or drive the Natchez Trace. Haven’t been to Fredericksburg or San Antonio yet.

I remember seeing $50 flights to Austin from Baton Rouge somewhere.

re: Weekend getaway at Ocean Springs MS

Posted by Hand on 9/14/24 at 10:11 am to
It's the last weekend for the Shuckers. Grab some Skybox tickets and suck up some A/C while watching the game.

re: Weekend getaway at Ocean Springs MS

Posted by Hand on 9/13/24 at 10:15 am to
I love Ocean Springs. It's really laid back. If you get bored, all you have to do is cross the bridge to have access to more "activities."

We always drive the coast in and out.

The beach is low key. Families stroll at sunset. Older couples will set up chairs and read. Plenty of people walking their dogs.

Some people rent golf carts. I think it's too small of a footprint so we just walk it.

You can walk downtown and hit all the shops in a morning. The best ones in my opinion are The Pink Rooster, Ocean Springs Mercantile, Coastal, Magpie, Hillyer House, Poppy's, and My Happy Place. Poppy's always has some sort specialty cocktail for sale in the back.

They're trying to channel Key West vibes. You'll see chickens walk in and out of some of the restaurants.

The food is pretty good across the board. Glory Bound is awesome. In my opinion, we've only been to a couple of places that are overrated. You'll mostly have a good time. There's a popsicle and ice cream stand downtown on a side-street if you want something non-acholic and cold. If you want to spend the night at the hotel watching a movie, pick up a pizza from Tom's. The Roost has a small speakeasy that's good if you really want to focus on each other.

The Walter Anderson Museum is worth a visit. The Ohr-O'Keefe Museum is right across the bridge (as is the Paradise Pier Fun Park and Margaritaville arcade).

re: Trip to Louisville

Posted by Hand on 9/11/24 at 11:46 am to
I've never been, but I had a few things on my radar:

See if anything worthwhile will be at The Palace Theater. I know Steve Martin and Martin Short are doing a show there soon.

Go use the lobby bathroom at the Hotel 21c. I hear that there's an interesting one-way mirror.

Eat a Brown Sandwich from the Brown Hotel.

Go to the Speed Art Museum and the Frazier Museum.

There's a glass activity center where you can make things out of... well, glass.

The behind the scene tour at Louisville Slugger Museum and betting a race at Churchill Downs is way up on the top of my list along with the typical burbon trail stuff.
The Keys

Lake Tahoe

The Catskills

No lake, but Palm Springs (it was good enough for Sinatra)

Saw a few dude trips down in 30A the last time I went

Whatever lake Saban has his cabin on

St. Simons/Jekyll Island

Madison or Boise wouldn't be bad either
Texas' economy is booming because of the goods coming across the boarder not the people. Supply chains are relocating from Asia to Mexico. Mexico has favorable demographics and low-end skills. The US has not-horrible demographics and high-end skills. It will be mutually beneficial for both countries. Texas is reaping the benefit from that because of the co-location of re-shored manufacturing.

The ILLEGAL crossings don't pay FEDERAL taxes because FEDERAL taxes are paid on income. They don't pay the taxes that are used to pay for the majority of services that they receive. It is a drain. TEXAS has the right idea because of their consumption and property based taxes. It doesn't matter if they are ILLEGAL or not because they pay their share through their consumption or their rent (whose landlord pays property taxes).
If you're building a house and your tape measure isn't accurate, you'll be okay as long as you use the same tape measure for all measurements. You'll be in a bind as soon as you start mixing different tape measures.