re: The fact that the Big 10 knuckled under is huge politically

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I’m thinking it’s more about universities realizing how much money they will lose if they don’t play.

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you're absolutely right.

And consider this- the same principle applies to state and local economies, and a whole lot of businesses. Nothing in this world is built to survive a continued, long shutdown. That's why embargos work.

It wasn't glamorous, but being able to define who would reopen and who would shut down will be a huge factor. There's probably going to be a lot of expected Biden supporters who do the math, and say "we can't do this".