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Started By
Message
Outstanding point by Richard Baris (People's Pundit) re: ABC SCOTUS poll
Posted on 9/25/20 at 4:11 pm
Posted on 9/25/20 at 4:11 pm
Notice the subtle difference in question wording...
LINK
quote:
@Peoples_Pundit
In 2016, the question merely asked if voters thought the Senate should hold hearings and vote. Now, the question is much more empowering to voters and their own importance.
quote:
THREAD CONTINUED: As a first-year undergraduate student would know, this is not kosher dill. The 2016 question worded it in a such a way that it seemed unfair for Obama's nominee to NOT get a hearing. In 2020, they made it about whether *they* as voters should have final say.
quote:
THREAD CONTINUED: Bottom line, folks...
Comparing two questions that are worded differently, especially those worded differently for no discernible reason, is basically a cardinal sin.
But I'm sure it'll get them an A+ on the Pollster Suckup Card.
LINK
2
Posted on 9/25/20 at 4:13 pm to RidiculousHype
What has he said recently about trumps chances?
He was talked about a lot last week. His line of thinking was that trump has a better chance in MN and PA than WI and Mi because of the "social desirablility" but yet his buddy Robert Cahley at Trafalger also uses the same social desirability method and has polled Trump closer in WI and Mi than PA and MN.
He was talked about a lot last week. His line of thinking was that trump has a better chance in MN and PA than WI and Mi because of the "social desirablility" but yet his buddy Robert Cahley at Trafalger also uses the same social desirability method and has polled Trump closer in WI and Mi than PA and MN.
Posted on 9/25/20 at 4:19 pm to RidiculousHype
quote:
Notice the subtle difference in question wording...
Posted on 9/25/20 at 4:24 pm to Magician2
quote:
What has he said recently about trumps chances?
He was talked about a lot last week. His line of thinking was that trump has a better chance in MN and PA than WI and Mi because of the "social desirablility" but yet his buddy Robert Cahley at Trafalger also uses the same social desirability method and has polled Trump closer in WI and Mi than PA and MN.
He seems to thread the needle on declaring chances. I listened to him today and I did not hear him answer the question directly on chances.
By inferring certain things he says I believe he thinks it is 50/50 election or close to it.
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