Trump was way, way behind in the "polls" against Clinton in 2016. He massively outperformed his polls.

Trump was even FURTHER behind in the polls in 2020. However despite the fact he was even further down in the polls there was a much larger sense of "Trump can win this" than in 2016 because people acknowledged the possibility he could massively overperform his polls once again. And guess what? Trump massively overperformed his polls once again. "Losing" by a razor thin margin even after a ton of cheating.

The press is now actively talking up Kamala's poll numbers like they matter. The truth is her poll numbers are much worse than Clinton's or Biden's were. And yet nobody at all is talking about the very real and very likely scenario that Trump will once again massively outperform his polling.

In other words, if Trump over performs his polling this time once again, even by a little bit, he's going to win.

Even if the the polling is accurate this time (unlikely) he's still close 50/50 to win at this point.

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Posted by sabanisarustedspoke

Member since Jan 2007

5860 posts

Posted on 9/19/24 at 10:09 pm to StansberryRules

I know right. People just give up power of this magnitude all the time...

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Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger

Member since Nov 2015

25498 posts

Posted on 9/19/24 at 10:13 pm to StansberryRules

The only poll I trust that I’ve seen recently is the Teamsters internal polling because I can’t fathom any reason a Dem union organization that has endorsed Dems for president for decades would lie about their polling which showed 60% Trump support to 38% for Kamala. First time in my lifetime they aren’t endorsing because their members don’t support the Dem candidate. Seems we’re talking about a blowout in reality. And I believe the internals for both Kamala and Trump show the same and that’s why the attempts on Trump’s life and all the shite being thrown at the wall by the Dem’s propaganda arm - the MSM - right now.

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