re: Trading back needs to be our draft strategy

What’s he wrong about?
You don’t think the Bears had bit of info on Caleb Williams and Jayden Daniels?
Or Raiders on Jamarcus? Or Chargers on Ryan Leaf? You can never 100% mitigate risk in the NFL. The NFL draft is very much find multiple quality through quantity also.

Colin Powell famously said that you should not wait to make a decision until you have 100% of the information because by then it's usually too late, but also don't take action with less than a 40% chance of being right, essentially advocating for making decisions with a "good enough" amount of information rather than getting bogged down by too much detail.
Referred to as the 40/70 rule.