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Time for Preakness talk

Posted on 5/15/12 at 4:09 pm
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
114236 posts
Posted on 5/15/12 at 4:09 pm
Im afraid it's looking like a bode, iha, creative cause tri of some sort.

Hope one of the longshots can flash a little speed and make it interesting.

Post Positions

1 -- Tiger Walk / Correas IV / Desormeaux / 30-1
2 -- Teeth of the Dog / Matz / Bravo / 15-1
3 -- Pretension / Grove / Santiago / 30-1
4 -- Zetterholm / R. Dutrow Jr / Alvarado / 20-1
5 -- Went the Day Well / Motion / J. Velazquez / 6-1
6 -- Creative Cause / Harrington / Rosario / 6-1
7 -- Bodemeister / Baffert / Smith / 8-5
8 -- Daddy Nose Best / Asmussen / Leparoux / 12-1
9 -- I'll Have Another/ O'Neill / Gutierrez / 5-2
10 -- Optimizer / Lukas / Court / 30-1
11 -- Cozzetti / Romans / Lezcano / 30-1


Thanks poker champ!
This post was edited on 5/16/12 at 5:39 pm
Posted by PANTHER
Bunkie
Member since Oct 2004
2348 posts
Posted on 5/15/12 at 4:13 pm to
You would think Bode would win due to the shorter distance but he turned in TWO BIG races in the last 5 weeks. Kinda wonder if he has any gas left in the tank.

I always pull for the Derby winner in the Preakness because I want to see a damn Triple Crown again before I die.
Posted by dgtiger3
Prairieville
Member since Sep 2005
5702 posts
Posted on 5/15/12 at 4:17 pm to
Catch me up on what to look for when we are looking for Preakness winners?

I watched about 22 prep races on youtube before the Derby on horses that could hang with the pack and looked like they had the energy and kick to make it the distance (since the Derby is the longest race any horse runs to that point, atleast to my knowledge.)

The Preakness is slightly shorter than the Derby correct?
Posted by PANTHER
Bunkie
Member since Oct 2004
2348 posts
Posted on 5/15/12 at 4:22 pm to
It is 1/16 shorter then the derby and will have 6 few horses entered. About 1/2 the field will be derby starters so you have fresh horses that by earnings are not as good. It seems like most of the time when a longshot wins the derby they don't win the Preakness but when a top favorite wins the derby the do really well which could go either way this year since IHA was not that big of an upset.
Posted by dgtiger3
Prairieville
Member since Sep 2005
5702 posts
Posted on 5/15/12 at 4:33 pm to
Yeah I just did research to answer my own question, and it is actually 110 yards shorter to be exact, a football field, which is a bigger deal than it would seem. Shackleford (The 2011 Preakness Winner) was nose and nose with Animal Kingdom at that point in the 2011 Derby and dropped back to 4th when it was all said and done.
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
114236 posts
Posted on 5/15/12 at 4:40 pm to
Cheering for Iha

I think if someone goes after bode he may be vulnerable, but of no one does he wins easy.

I want a triple crown winner

And I've got 2 bluegrass cat's to cheer for this time!
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
114236 posts
Posted on 5/15/12 at 4:42 pm to
Shackleford just kicked our horse's arse on derby day.

Hope they keep him a mile and under this year. He's so nice.
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
114236 posts
Posted on 5/15/12 at 4:47 pm to
Good derby story
Pretty sure I linked it in the derby thread, but I loved this article.

Glad I took notice of Iha after his 43-1 win this winter
Posted by Bho
Lexington
Member since Dec 2007
24804 posts
Posted on 5/15/12 at 5:02 pm to
When is Gantry running again? Also is Rags running again?
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
114236 posts
Posted on 5/15/12 at 5:18 pm to
They are looking at a few options with gantry. I promise I'll keep you updated!

That hop he had at the start kills me. He wouldn't have won, but hed have been closer at the end.

Rags is heading to the Belmont.
Posted by Rohan2Reed
Member since Nov 2003
75674 posts
Posted on 5/15/12 at 5:23 pm to
quote:

Rags is heading to the Belmont.


Dullahan as well. That should be a fine race in a few weeks.

Unfortunately, I don't think I'll Have Another has a real shot at the Preakness. I'll be all over Went The Day Well on Saturday. Just need someone to challenge Bode early and Went The Day Well and Creative Cause (who ran a big race at Churchill but got lost in traffic) should be 1 2.
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
114236 posts
Posted on 5/15/12 at 5:24 pm to
I forgot about wtdw. He impressed the shite out of me in the derby.

I'm hoping someone like dutrow is dumb enough to gun for the lead.

I reeeeaaallly would like to see bode have some pressure. If he wins that way I'll be much more impressed than if he canters around in 24, 48, 113, etc
This post was edited on 5/15/12 at 5:27 pm
Posted by Bho
Lexington
Member since Dec 2007
24804 posts
Posted on 5/15/12 at 5:27 pm to
Any Pimlico specialists headed for the gate?
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
114236 posts
Posted on 5/15/12 at 5:31 pm to
They are calling tiger walk and pretension local. Guess I'll wait for the pps
Posted by Rohan2Reed
Member since Nov 2003
75674 posts
Posted on 5/15/12 at 5:47 pm to
I'm hearing Pretension too. He won at Pimlico on Derby Day going 1 1/16m in 1:45.70. My Adonis was in the field; finished third.
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
114236 posts
Posted on 5/15/12 at 6:06 pm to
He's a bluegrass cat out of a street cry mare
Posted by jojothetireguy
Live out in Coconut Grove
Member since Jan 2009
10533 posts
Posted on 5/15/12 at 7:06 pm to
Haven't looked yet, I've been slacking
Posted by KingRanch
The Ranch
Member since Mar 2012
61654 posts
Posted on 5/15/12 at 7:17 pm to
I'm all ears
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
114236 posts
Posted on 5/15/12 at 8:47 pm to
Get to work!
Posted by leveetiger
New Roads, LA
Member since Jul 2010
594 posts
Posted on 5/16/12 at 12:16 pm to
Bump...odds are out.

LINK
This post was edited on 5/16/12 at 12:18 pm
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