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re: Super Bowl XLVII Betting Thread- San Francisco 49ers Vs. Baltimore Ravens

Posted on 2/3/13 at 1:24 pm to
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 2/3/13 at 1:24 pm to
My play is in. Out of fear for my life I will keep it to myself
Posted by memphstigers23
Fenway Pahk
Member since Mar 2012
10278 posts
Posted on 2/3/13 at 1:26 pm to
You have to post it you son of a...
Posted by Zipfer2022
Member since Nov 2011
3757 posts
Posted on 2/3/13 at 1:28 pm to
quote:

My play is in. Out of fear for my life I will keep it to myself


Be smart and take the Ravens and the points
Posted by Veritas
Member since Feb 2005
10921 posts
Posted on 2/3/13 at 1:29 pm to
Referee crew avg points per game 41. They call the most holding penalties out of all officiating crews.

Food for thought
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 2/3/13 at 1:30 pm to
My problem with this is, I'm not sure if you're on team "Fade dcrews" or team "I don't know who dcrews is"

Either way I took Ravens +4.5 (-107) and Ravens ML (+190)
Posted by memphstigers23
Fenway Pahk
Member since Mar 2012
10278 posts
Posted on 2/3/13 at 1:33 pm to
SF!!!!!!!!!!!
Everyone SF is the play!!!!
Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 2/3/13 at 1:34 pm to
quote:

"Fade dcrews"

I stopped participating in the CFB bet threads; did this stay a thing or did you get it turned around?

Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 2/3/13 at 1:34 pm to


Gonna laugh my arse off when Baltimore wins
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 2/3/13 at 1:35 pm to
quote:

I stopped participating in the CFB bet threads; did this stay a thing or did you get it turned around?


I wound up nearly breaking even, and cut my losses there. Stopped around the middle of the season.

I know where I went wrong this year and I'm pretty excited about going into next year with some betting experience under my belt.
Posted by Flatt2Flowers04
Member since Jul 2011
3359 posts
Posted on 2/3/13 at 1:38 pm to
I was leaning Ravens as well. My book has them at +4 (+105)
Posted by crankbait
Member since Feb 2008
11647 posts
Posted on 2/3/13 at 1:42 pm to
I took ravens ML +170.

$100

It's at 180 now. People seem to be all over the 49ers as game time approaches
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 2/3/13 at 1:42 pm to
quote:

I was leaning Ravens as well. My book has them at +4 (+105)


5 dimes had that line at +100 and right before I took it, it bumped to +4.5
Posted by Flatt2Flowers04
Member since Jul 2011
3359 posts
Posted on 2/3/13 at 1:44 pm to
quote:

People seem to be all over the 49ers as game time approaches


Good
Posted by aVatiger
Water
Member since Jan 2006
27967 posts
Posted on 2/3/13 at 1:45 pm to
quote:

I was leaning Ravens as well. My book has them at +4 (+105)


Kap gonna have to have a HUGE game for them to win imo..

but shite to 4.5 and lets roll my man
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 2/3/13 at 1:47 pm to
Posted by Flatt2Flowers04
Member since Jul 2011
3359 posts
Posted on 2/3/13 at 1:47 pm to
So you'd suggest buying the hook
Posted by Zipfer2022
Member since Nov 2011
3757 posts
Posted on 2/3/13 at 1:49 pm to
quote:

I took Ravens +4.5 (-107) and Ravens ML (+190)


If you are just tailing someone then okay but if that is your own original creative pick God help the Ravens
Posted by Flatt2Flowers04
Member since Jul 2011
3359 posts
Posted on 2/3/13 at 1:53 pm to
What.. He fade city or sumn?
Posted by aVatiger
Water
Member since Jan 2006
27967 posts
Posted on 2/3/13 at 1:55 pm to
quote:

So you'd suggest buying the hook


yup
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 2/3/13 at 1:56 pm to
quote:

If you are just tailing someone then okay but if that is your own original creative pick God help the Ravens


Eh, little bit of both I guess. I want Frisco to win, but if I've learned anything over the past several months, I should NEVER bet teams and should ALWAYS bet numbers.

With the information out there, I like getting 4.5 points with the 1st or 2nd best team in football. Seeing some of the plays here from posters who have been betting for while simply was that extra push I needed to pull the trigger on the play I was teetering on.

See the below stats for a study done compiling data from over 17 years and 4000 games. I like being on the ride side of the 3 and 4. Especially with two "grind it out, defensively tough teams" (one of which has a field goal kicker that is in a slump)

quote:

To nobody's surprise, 3 was the most common margin to the tune of 15.1%. It's no surprise that 7 was the second most common margin, as this is how many points a team is awarded for a touchdown plus extra point, but what was a surprise to us is that it comes in more than two times less than the 3, to the tune of 7.1%. What do you think the next most common margin is? I'd have guessed 4, which is close, but no cigar. The third most common margin was "6," which is somewhat of a surprise. A six point margin happened six percent of the time. The other two key numbers of note are 10 and 4 which came in at 5.9 and 5.8% respectively.
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