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re: OFFICIAL Week 3 CFB bet thread™

Posted on 9/8/14 at 11:27 am to
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
18016 posts
Posted on 9/8/14 at 11:27 am to
Yeah it's always tough backing a bad team, but on the other hand they're being given 3 scores against another bad team...
Posted by goldennugget
NIL Ruined College Sports
Member since Jul 2013
26064 posts
Posted on 9/8/14 at 11:29 am to
TCU already up to -14, line opened at -8, largest line movement of any game so far. Glad I locked it in at -9

My plays so far this week:

13-Sep TCU -9.5
13-Sep Iowa State +13.5
13-Sep Oklahoma -20.5
13-Sep Kent State +31.5
13-Sep West Virginia +3
13-Sep LSU -31

Season: 8-9, -1.9 units


Posted by goldennugget
NIL Ruined College Sports
Member since Jul 2013
26064 posts
Posted on 9/8/14 at 11:30 am to
quote:

Edit: Also, Wyoming's totals were WAY under in both of its first two games against Montana and Air Force. Nobody got out of the teens in those games. I'll be interested in their Oregon game total when it comes out...


I am considering Wyoming +44.5 but haven't bit yet. I think they will slow the game down enough to be able to cover that, especially in the 2nd half. Only thing that worries me is Wyoming's offense.
Posted by Sader1990
Metairie
Member since Jun 2013
1095 posts
Posted on 9/8/14 at 11:32 am to
quote:

Any thoughs on UMass catching 17? They put up 38 on Colorado, and I'm thinking Vandy is just as bad as the Buffs...


When I saw this I was thinking can Vanderbilt even score 17 points
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 9/8/14 at 11:33 am to
quote:

Purdue is horrendously bad. The only way Notre Dame doesn't win by 40 is if they come out slow since this is the game after Michigan, but Golson is the real deal.


yeah, purdue is totally awful; ND should score 50+ with relative ease.

with that said ND was favored over them last year by 21 and only won by a TD.

game not worth the wager imo, but id def lean ND if forced.
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4295 posts
Posted on 9/8/14 at 12:24 pm to
Leans so far for week 3.
Leans
WVU+3
ECU+10.5
Marshal-21
Arkansas+3
Old D-14.5
Tulsa-1.5
WKU+1
Oklahoma-21
UCLA-7
Arizona St-14.5
Bama 1H
Oregon 1H
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 9/8/14 at 12:33 pm to
frick UCLA.
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4295 posts
Posted on 9/8/14 at 12:50 pm to
quote:

frick UCLA.


Bound to show up sooner or later right
Posted by BeYou
DFW
Member since Oct 2012
6036 posts
Posted on 9/8/14 at 12:51 pm to
UNT just went from -6 to -4.5. I am leaning LTech on winning this game outright but I haven't looked too much into it.
Posted by PurpleAndGold86
Member since Jun 2012
11036 posts
Posted on 9/8/14 at 12:52 pm to
quote:

Bound to show up sooner or later right


Well the defense was there in week 1. The offense was there in week 2....so week 3....
Posted by DallasTiger45
Member since May 2012
8722 posts
Posted on 9/8/14 at 12:54 pm to
Yea I was shocked it opened that high...
Posted by Sader1990
Metairie
Member since Jun 2013
1095 posts
Posted on 9/8/14 at 12:56 pm to
On Bet Online, Lsu dropped to -30. I thought it would go up a little.
Posted by PurpleAndGold86
Member since Jun 2012
11036 posts
Posted on 9/8/14 at 1:51 pm to
Locked in LSU -31. I can't see ULM scoring more than 14 on this LSU defense and 45 is way more than attainable for this offense. Leading up to the tough games, Miles is going to continue to get all of the guys plenty of reps and the "reserves" that are coming in and playing late are the likes of Brandon Harris, Malachi Dupre, Darrell Williams, etc. LSU will continue to score points throughout this game.
Posted by Sader1990
Metairie
Member since Jun 2013
1095 posts
Posted on 9/8/14 at 1:58 pm to
quote:

Locked in LSU -31. I can't see ULM scoring more than 14 on this LSU defense and 45 is way more than attainable for this offense. Leading up to the tough games, Miles is going to continue to get all of the guys plenty of reps and the "reserves" that are coming in and playing late are the likes of Brandon Harris, Malachi Dupre, Darrell Williams, etc. LSU will continue to score points throughout this game.



I completely agree im just surprised it dropped. Im going to wait to see if it drops anymore.
Posted by bisonduck
Oregon City, OR
Member since Apr 2011
13423 posts
Posted on 9/8/14 at 2:01 pm to
quote:

I am considering Wyoming +44.5 but haven't bit yet. I think they will slow the game down enough to be able to cover that, especially in the 2nd half. Only thing that worries me is Wyoming's offense.


It's a big line and thought it was at +42. I would probably bite. Oregon is going to put in a lot of 3rd stringers in the second half.
Posted by PurpleAndGold86
Member since Jun 2012
11036 posts
Posted on 9/8/14 at 2:03 pm to
quote:

I completely agree im just surprised it dropped. Im going to wait to see if it drops anymore


Hoping the first half is as low as 17. Will hammer that too. More likely will be around 20 though. Still will probably hit that.
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4295 posts
Posted on 9/8/14 at 2:03 pm to
1H is the way to go. Line should be around 27
Posted by PurpleAndGold86
Member since Jun 2012
11036 posts
Posted on 9/8/14 at 2:04 pm to
quote:

It's a big line and thought it was at +42. I would probably bite. Oregon is going to put in a lot of 3rd stringers in the second half.


I watched a chunk of the Wyoming game Saturday and they looked so horrible. It looked like a real struggle for them to move the football at all. They are very very slow.

First half will be a play for me at anything < -28.
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 9/8/14 at 2:49 pm to
quote:

I think I was a dcrews like 1-8 last week.



I resent all of the hate I'm getting.

I had an awful first year, but last year and this year thus far have been good
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4295 posts
Posted on 9/8/14 at 2:58 pm to
quote:

I resent all of the hate I'm getting.


You just stay away from anything I take
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