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re: Official Tim Tebow Workout Thread (Scout grades on page 6)

Posted on 8/31/16 at 11:14 am to
Posted by lsufball19
Franklin, TN
Member since Sep 2008
71284 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 11:14 am to
I mean there will be outliers in any statistical metric.
Posted by JasonMason
Memphis
Member since Jun 2009
4917 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 11:16 am to
quote:

spending any real money on a 29 year old with 0 playing experience past high school is outrageous


You are assuming anyone is going to do this.
Posted by StrongBackWeakMind
Member since May 2014
22650 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 11:18 am to
Minor leagues is going to be the real test.

I'm not putting much stock in scout grades based on one workout.

I will be interesting. I'll go watch him play if he swings by the Zephyrs.
Posted by The Ostrich
Member since May 2009
2689 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 11:19 am to
quote:

You're an idiot. In the link his projected future grades were slightly better.

Hitting 40
Power 55
Speed 25
Arm 55
Fielding 50

Nor did I make the case that this translated to Tebow becoming Albert Pujols. My single point I made was that scouts don't always get it right. Next time I'll try to write it in crayon for you.

No you are still an idiot, Pujols was 19 when they made those PROJECTIONS and yes clearly he is better than hi projections and YES the scouts were off predicting what type of player a 19 YEAR OLD KID will become but when looking at at 29 YEAR OLD FULL GROWN MAN they have a pretty good idea of what type of player he is going to be because he already is that player
Posted by JasonMason
Memphis
Member since Jun 2009
4917 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 11:19 am to
quote:

I mean there will be outliers in any statistical metric.



I agree with you. My point of posting that was just to show that scouts can be wrong. Some of the more irrational types are interpreting it that I'm comparing Tebow to Pujols. That's dumb. I haven't seen anyone say anything more than Tebow having a chance to be a fringe major leaguer, and I don't think that's outrageous. More than anything I posted this because I found it amusing.

I don't think it's out of the question that he could develop enough to hit a few homeruns here and there. Do I think it's likely? Hell no. However, it's not like people haven't worked their arse off and beaten the odds before.
Posted by JasonMason
Memphis
Member since Jun 2009
4917 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 11:21 am to
quote:

No you are still an idiot, Pujols was 19 when they made those PROJECTIONS and yes clearly he is better than hi projections and YES the scouts were off predicting what type of player a 19 YEAR OLD KID will become but when looking at at 29 YEAR OLD FULL GROWN MAN they have a pretty good idea of what type of player he is going to be because he already is that player


I'm having a hard time finding the part where I said Tebow was guaranteed to make the majors and be an above average player for years to come. You're setting up your own arguments to combat. You're not even arguing to my point. You're arguing something I never said.

Also, it's an understatement to say Pujols is better than his projections.

How do they have a pretty good idea of what type of player a guy who hasn't played baseball in 10 years is going to be based on one showcase?
This post was edited on 8/31/16 at 11:23 am
Posted by The Ostrich
Member since May 2009
2689 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 11:24 am to
quote:

I'm having a hard time finding the part where I said Tebow was guaranteed to make the majors and be an above average player for years to come. You're setting up your own arguments to combat.

How do they have a pretty good idea of what type of player a guy who hasn't played baseball in 10 years is going to be based on one showcase?

I am having a hard time finding the part where I said you said that?
you think this is the first time hes played in 10 years? there is 0 chance he hasn't been training every single day and they know because that's their job they do it everyday and with someone who is 29 and fully developed they don't need to see him to many times to know what type of player he is.
Posted by The Ostrich
Member since May 2009
2689 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 11:25 am to
quote:

Also, it's an understatement to say Pujols is better than his projections.

10 year projection for for Tebow...he will be working in front a camera for espn
Posted by mizzoubuckeyeiowa
Member since Nov 2015
39016 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 11:27 am to
Tebow displayed a less-than-strong left arm as he threw to different bases from spots in the outfield. He slipped once cutting a ball off in the right-field gap while trying to plant and throw.

During a live hitting session against two former major league pitchers, Tebow struggled with getting wood on breaking balls. He swung and missed a few times in a row, and fouled pitches off toward the left-field bullpen.

But during the batting practice warmup, Tebow launched a ball into the tall trees beyond the right-field wall, a drive estimated at more than 400 feet. With his 6-foot-3, 255-pound frame, he’s not someone a second baseman might want to see breaking up a double play.
Posted by StrongBackWeakMind
Member since May 2014
22650 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 11:28 am to
He's a 29yo project with huge power.
Posted by JasonMason
Memphis
Member since Jun 2009
4917 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 11:42 am to
quote:

I am having a hard time finding the part where I said you said that?
you think this is the first time hes played in 10 years? there is 0 chance he hasn't been training every single day and they know because that's their job they do it everyday and with someone who is 29 and fully developed they don't need to see him to many times to know what type of player he is.




Extremely disingenuous. You called me an idiot because I made a statement that scouts don't always get it right. I proved my point by posting pujols draft scouting report from when he was 19 and his future scouting grades.

Your name is appropriate considering you're in complete denial about what I've said versus what you're implying I said.

If you really think that Tebow training every single day for the last year is comparable to playing organized baseball, then you've got less cognitive ability than I thought. I've been wasting my time responding to you.

I just can't figure out why you are so sensitive to the fact that Tebow, with development, has the potential to crack a major league roster.

ETA: Just to add on to the Pujols stuff. You said pujols had 10 years to develop? The baw made his MLB debut at 21 and was well above his scout grade from day one in the majors. So once again since I have to write it in crayon, I'm not saying Tebow=Pujols. I'm saying scouts can and do get it wrong from time to time.
This post was edited on 8/31/16 at 11:56 am
Posted by JasonMason
Memphis
Member since Jun 2009
4917 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 11:43 am to
quote:

He's a 29yo project with huge power.



Nailed it.
Posted by lsucoonass
shreveport and east texas
Member since Nov 2003
69706 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 12:58 pm to
As someone who knows nothing ho should I interpret his performance? Sounds like he did well enough to get a tryout with a minor league team.

Why are there variations of these numbers? I understand different number for different abilities what I am asking if why are the different raters having variability for the same abilities? Is the inter rater reliability not reliable in baseball?
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