re: OFFICIAL CFB bet thread week 8

My software says West Virginia should be a 1 point favorite

quote:

---

It will probably be the same weekend you are with me at my bachelor party, bitch.

---

South Carolina -7½

I really like it.

Some Preliminary Rambling

Steve Spurrier-7 over Tennessee: I just don't think we have the horses on either side of the ball to keep it close.

Akron-7 over Hipster Miami: Akron is far from a juggernaut, and not even by MAC standards, but Hipster Miami is just on a different planet right now, and not in a good way. They are just absolute pure trash -- atrocious at every single aspect of the game of football other than being atrocious at the game of football. They, in fact, excel at being certifiably atrocious at the game of football.

Duke+2.5 over UVA: Smart kid fight!!! Who's gonna get their glasses knocked off? But seriously, UVA is abysmal on offense and so the fact that Duke isn't very good on defense isn't really a major deal. Because one thing I've noticed in observing college football over the years is that a certifiably abysmal offense won't score points on even the most atrocious of defenses. In other words, an offense has to reach a certain level of competence before they can put points on ANYBODY. And I"m not sure UVA meets that threshold on offense. Duke, on the other hand, has shown that they can put points on the board, and I think they'll do that here. I think Duke wins outright.

Clemson+3 over Florida State: There is no question that FSU is a solid football team this year, but I just think it's Clemson's year in the ACC.

Wisconsin-10 over Illinois: I thought we had recently learned that Wisconsin is actually decent at the game of football. Let's roll with that.

North Texas-6 over La. Tech: The Mean Green have treated me well this year. And Skip Holtz is still coaching La. Tech, last time I checked.

Toledo-6.5 over Navy: It doesn't appear that any of the Service Academies are particularly good this year at the game of football.

Purdue+26 over Sparty: Listen, Purdue is atrocious. But Western Michigan is also atrocious and Sparty beat them 26-3. What I'm getting at is that a team has to score more than 26 to cover a spread of 26. And I"m not sure Sparty can do that.

WashU+3.5 over Arizona State: I'm not terribly confident in this one, but I don't think WashU is the better team.

UCF+10.5 over Louisville: don't be surprised if UCF wins this game.

Auburn+13.5 over TAMU: this just seems like way too points for what has been a respectable Aubie team

Northern Illinois-17 over Central Michigan: Central Michigan is goddamn terrible.

Rice-17 over new mexico state: not sure if I love this line, but I will certainly take it on the ML. New Mexico State is festering dogtrash.

Texas Tech-8 over WVU: I know WVU is a tough place to play, but I think the Okie State game was just a complete outlier that they won't be able to reproduce all season. And the Kliff Kingsbury's didn't cover for me last week, but I think I might give them another chance.

Indiana+10 over Michigan: what is it that Michigan is actually good at this year? Anything?


tOSU-16.5 over Iowa: tOSU has had two close games back to back. After a week off they are now at home and I think they're gonna open this one up.

I see alot out there that I like.

ND -3
Florida -3
Ohio St -16
Ole Miss +7.5
Utah +5 (might be my favorite play of the whole season)

quote:

---

Ole Miss +7.5

---

There D is so depleted there is no way I would take this. Nkimdeche will be out also. What a blow

I'm liking these teams

Miami -8
Carolina -7
Ohio St. -16
Wisky -10
Duke +2
CMU +16
Iowa St +32
N. Texas -6

quote:

---

Serderius Bryant, Robert Nkemdiche, Temario Strong, Jeff Scott, Mike Hilton, Issac Gross, Chief Brown, C.J. Johnson and Carlos Thompson. Brunetti also out. Said Strong has best shot of coming back. Sedarius Bryant suffered a concussion.

---

That is the list of players supposedly out for the game according to Freeze.

That's a pretty serious list with Nkemdiche, Jeff Scott and Brunetti on it (He really had their offense rolling against A&M more than blondie did)

quote:

---

I have had a great read on LSU all year.

---

I have too, only times I have bet them, they won (except I took ML against UGA, spread was a push though). They are 4-2-1 ATS this year.

I can see not liking LSU in the game for sure, but I just can't possibly see liking Ole Miss in the game.

I've still got 2 units locked in from my preseason bet on -2.5