re: Kentucky Derby Prediction Thread

quote:

---

He's a good turf/synthetic horse, which is why I've been following his morning visits to the track.

---

So how's he been doing on the dirt?

So far, so good. I'll tell you after I see his next work

I rarely bet the Triple Crown. Young horses being asked to do things they've never done before. You can't tell which ones have it in them and which ones don't. In general, never discount a California horse or one ridden by Calvin Borel.

quote:

---

So far, so good. I'll tell you after I see his next work

---

quote:

---

In case you didn't notice, I'm hunting for longshots

---

by the start of the derby you'll have listed every horse in the field as "i'm liking this one"

I've just got onyx, frac daddy, mylute, palice, revolutionary right now.

Will take one of the following;
Orb, Normandy (son of tapit at 10f?!, but he looked great galloping this am)

I just need 5. Probably won't put frac daddy in my exacta box because he only has a maiden win, but will probably do a small accross the board bet.

Vyjack looked awesome too. He's easy to pick out galloping in his hackamore

This is a bad enough group that his daddy may not matter. From the gallops I've seen he looks great. Apparently his work, while not sizzling, gets good remarks from turf writers.

All pletcher's works are moved up to tomorrow instead if Sunday due to the weather.

I'm hearing if he doesn't get stuck in a pack that he can't find his way out of, the last few legs he can turn on the turbos and win this thing.

Just what some of the F-I-L's friends are saying.

quote:

---

Normandy?

---

yep

Still a ways out, but the forecast, as of now, looks horrible for Derby Day. Even possibility of wintry precipitation. Hope for a change.