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re: 2017-18 NHL Season Long Thread

Posted on 1/24/18 at 9:08 am to
Posted by Tigers0891
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2017
7157 posts
Posted on 1/24/18 at 9:08 am to
The career in jeopardy tidbit doesn't sound good. Are you a Flames fan Jefforize ?
Posted by jefforize
Member since Feb 2008
45895 posts
Posted on 1/24/18 at 9:17 am to
I am.

we usually play the Kings close. 3-2 in overtime type games.

laying off tonight's game though after that Buffalo let down

will probably have a play on Toronto/Chicago



the Calgary flames subreddit doesn't have a preview up yet
This post was edited on 1/24/18 at 9:24 am
Posted by Tigers0891
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2017
7157 posts
Posted on 1/24/18 at 10:28 am to
I capped it and the Flames are definitely the smarter play. Still haven't seen goalies yet but haven't looked in a while. One thing that stood out was that the Flames are positive on shot differential at about 160 more shots than the Kings.

Kings are also -139 on shot differential when ahead in a game. They have a great defense and Quick can shine a lot of times so it makes sense but gives the Flames the chance to come back. Another cool one was the Flames score a lot more in the 2nd period and the Kings score a lot more in the third.

Kings have had a lot more turnovers which I was surprised to see. Mix in the goals for and against in the last 10 for both teams.

Of course they are a favorite so yeah duh on some of this.
This post was edited on 1/24/18 at 10:35 am
Posted by lsufan_26
Member since Feb 2004
12559 posts
Posted on 1/24/18 at 3:41 pm to
quote:

Stars had 4 guys in the box at the same time this is hysterical. Not very great hockey, but entertaining nonetheless

Debatable
Posted by jefforize
Member since Feb 2008
45895 posts
Posted on 1/24/18 at 3:48 pm to
wow, flames are -172 favorites . a bit surprising.

Kings have been pretty bad lately, 1-7 SU in last 8.

still wouldn't feel safe. we've been average @home this year.
Posted by lsufan_26
Member since Feb 2004
12559 posts
Posted on 1/24/18 at 3:51 pm to
quote:

I dont know why these two teams hate each other but im enjoying it.


Their games over the past few seasons have been pretty chippy. I'm pretty sure it was Kulikov's dirty/questionable hit on Seguin a few seasons ago.

Video of hit

LINK
Posted by jefforize
Member since Feb 2008
45895 posts
Posted on 1/24/18 at 4:21 pm to


yea .. that would be a reason
Posted by jefforize
Member since Feb 2008
45895 posts
Posted on 1/24/18 at 6:58 pm to
Took tor/chi over 6 -105

Posted by jefforize
Member since Feb 2008
45895 posts
Posted on 1/24/18 at 8:48 pm to
This o 6 aint happening so im chasing with u5.5 -130 on the late game.
Posted by TXGunslinger10
Houston, TX
Member since Jun 2011
18154 posts
Posted on 1/24/18 at 9:51 pm to
Wow. A penalty shot OT game winner for the Leafs
Posted by jefforize
Member since Feb 2008
45895 posts
Posted on 1/24/18 at 10:23 pm to
this tic tac toe goal by Calgary's top line is sweet

LINK

Monahan is my favorite player

clever entry into the zone off the glass
This post was edited on 1/24/18 at 10:25 pm
Posted by jefforize
Member since Feb 2008
45895 posts
Posted on 1/24/18 at 10:35 pm to
4 minute double minor and we don't score. typical. Quick isn't even net.
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
78309 posts
Posted on 1/24/18 at 10:56 pm to
My flyers are now tied with Devils at 56 points!
Posted by jefforize
Member since Feb 2008
45895 posts
Posted on 1/24/18 at 10:57 pm to
Last year they won 10 in a row and yet missed the playoffs

This year they have already lost 10 in a row, yet are tied for 2nd in the best division in hockey.

Streaky team
Posted by jefforize
Member since Feb 2008
45895 posts
Posted on 1/24/18 at 11:36 pm to
Amazing how much easier -130 bets are compared to -110 and better when playing totals

They really have this shite down to a perfect science.

They being the oddsmakers and the big money players
This post was edited on 1/24/18 at 11:42 pm
Posted by jefforize
Member since Feb 2008
45895 posts
Posted on 1/24/18 at 11:49 pm to
Kings win

Of course. +fricking160 ml. Backup gk. On a back to back on the road

10 game pt streak for CGY so .. whatever.
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
78309 posts
Posted on 1/25/18 at 9:02 am to
Very much streaky
Posted by Tigers0891
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2017
7157 posts
Posted on 1/25/18 at 10:57 am to
I ended up laying off of it. Just got two plays so far. One I think you should parlay for fun. The o5.5 -130 and Capitals puckline +215. Sateri is back in for the Panthers since Reimer got hurt.

I also plan to take the Stars over the Leafs but the alternate lines haven't come out on my book yet.

Elaborate on your -130 total odds comment too... you're saying the juice is high just because it's a very good chance of hitting yet still doesn't shift the total higher?
Posted by Tigers0891
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2017
7157 posts
Posted on 1/25/18 at 10:57 am to
Neuvirth in tonight instead of Elliot like most people thought... you think your team can beat the Lightning ?
Posted by jefforize
Member since Feb 2008
45895 posts
Posted on 1/25/18 at 11:03 am to
Correct. The actual total number very rarely shifts if ever. But the juice shifts often.

When i saw it drop to -130 right before puck drop , i jumped in.

Almost every single time when one side goes to -130 its been a very stress free play. Conversely when i play -110 or evens im sweating it out in the last 5 minutes/ot


gonna test this theory more tonight
This post was edited on 1/25/18 at 11:13 am
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