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TUba Top 101 - LSU's chances for the rest of the year

Posted on 11/8/09 at 11:23 am
Posted by SpidermanTUba
my house
Member since May 2004
36128 posts
Posted on 11/8/09 at 11:23 am
Based on results from the TUbalatoratron HERE I am able to determine LSU's chances for the rest of the year.

Chances of victory against:
La. Tech = 79%
Ole Miss = 61%
Arky = 63%

Posted by SpidermanTUba
my house
Member since May 2004
36128 posts
Posted on 11/8/09 at 6:44 pm to
win out = 30%
Posted by adam32
CONWAY, AR
Member since Aug 2006
4628 posts
Posted on 11/8/09 at 6:46 pm to
well then nostradomus, whom do we lose to so i can retire early?
Posted by SpidermanTUba
my house
Member since May 2004
36128 posts
Posted on 11/8/09 at 11:26 pm to
Most likely Ole Miss. Get ready for it. It could happen. Just remember - no matter what -
Posted by bigbowe80
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2007
3702 posts
Posted on 11/8/09 at 11:46 pm to
Interesting how we are only 2% less likely to lose to Arkansas even though they have a much worse record than Ole Miss and the game is at home versus being on the road. Can't say I personally don't have similar feelings about being more worried about the Arkansas game
This post was edited on 11/8/09 at 11:47 pm
Posted by SpidermanTUba
my house
Member since May 2004
36128 posts
Posted on 11/8/09 at 11:54 pm to
quote:

Interesting how we are only 2% less likely to lose to Arkansas even though they have a much worse record than Ole Miss

Yeah, 5-4 is really MUCH worse than than 6-3. That's about as stark a difference as you could have. I can't think of ANYTHING worse than 6-3 except 5-4.
Posted by Datbayoubengal
Port City
Member since Sep 2009
26630 posts
Posted on 11/9/09 at 1:45 am to
quote:

La. Tech = 79%


are you fricking kidding me? were pissed and going to unleash hell on La Tech. Gotta make somebody pay.
Posted by mannybeingmanny
Member since Aug 2009
1614 posts
Posted on 11/9/09 at 1:47 am to
What are the chances that Boise/TCU/Cincy lose 1 game, Texas loses 2, and LSU gets in the NCG because the pollsters don't want a UF/Bama rematch?
Posted by Ham Tonks
LA
Member since May 2009
4702 posts
Posted on 11/9/09 at 1:50 am to
the odds of winning a football game, any day, against any opponent are always 50%

Posted by mannybeingmanny
Member since Aug 2009
1614 posts
Posted on 11/9/09 at 1:52 am to
Posted by SPiG
Central, LA
Member since Oct 2007
22 posts
Posted on 11/9/09 at 1:56 am to
quote:

What are the chances that Boise/TCU/Cincy lose 1 game, Texas loses 2, and LSU gets in the NCG because the pollsters don't want a UF/Bama rematch?


Pretty low. I would not look forward to too many other opportunities to come along to get into the NCG with 2 losses. That being said that we have played as well as we have and had that chance this year is quite an achievement.

quote:

are you fricking kidding me? were pissed and going to unleash hell on La Tech. Gotta make somebody pay.

La tech will be a little bit of a hang over with the way they left everything on the field and with the injuries we have had. We should still beat them, but that is why the stats are what they are. I would not expect the same sort of gashing that we put to Tulane next week.
Posted by mannybeingmanny
Member since Aug 2009
1614 posts
Posted on 11/9/09 at 1:57 am to
If LSU is #3 going into the SECCG, do you think they would let Bama and UF rematch or put LSU in the title game?

It would help if Alabama lost before the SECCG.
Posted by Datbayoubengal
Port City
Member since Sep 2009
26630 posts
Posted on 11/9/09 at 2:39 am to
quote:

If LSU is #3 going into the SECCG, do you think they would let Bama and UF rematch or put LSU in the title game?

It would help if Alabama lost before the SECCG.


Bama might lose against Auburn but the SEC officials sealed the deal on whose playing in the SECCG, we could still get in the BCS though.
Posted by SpidermanTUba
my house
Member since May 2004
36128 posts
Posted on 11/9/09 at 2:11 pm to
quote:

What are the chances that Boise/TCU/Cincy lose 1 game, Texas loses 2, and LSU gets in the NCG because the pollsters don't want a UF/Bama rematch?



OK. Hold on on that one, it'll come in bit by bit over the day and we can add it all up later.


Boise's odds of losing at least one game = 71%



TCU's odds of losing at least one game = 61%





Cinci's odds of losing at least one game = 76%

Cinci's odds of losing at least two games = 31%






Texas's chance of losing at least one game = 66%
Texas's chance of losing at least two games = 23%

Florida's chance of losing at least one game = 66%
Flordas's chance of losing at least two games = 23%



Alabama's chance of losing at least one game = 76%
Alabama's chance of losing at least two games = 31%

This post was edited on 11/9/09 at 2:35 pm
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