Topic I posted last year about QB ratings

Keep in mind that this post was on 09-24-2018 (and yes I was wrong about some of the things in that thread.) Anyway, the premise was at the time LSU was a pretty odd statistical anomaly among top rated teams and there seems to be an extreme correlation between top rated teams and passer rating.

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Top 7 teams from AP with team pass rating in parenthesis
1. Alabama(1)
2. Georgia(5)
3. Clemson(21) * - ongoing QB shuffle that seems to probably be resolved now
4. Ohio State(3)
5. LSU(107)
6. Oklahoma(4)
7. Stanford(23)

I stopped at 7 because I think after that there is a pretty big drop off as far as teams that have a serious chance to contend for a conference title (outside of ND who recently made a change at QB and is independent)

ETA: Also of note West Virginia is #12 with a 3-0 record and has a passer rating of #2 overall

ETA Again - This would mean that the teams that are ranked 1-5 in passer rating are all undefeated and currently in the top 12. I don't know if I've seen this correlation so closely related to on field success before.

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So it seems like we've crossed the brink here that success in college football is almost 100% related to passing.

Here are the highest rated passers in college football in 2019:

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1 - Tua Tagovailoa - ALA
2 - Joe Burrow - LSU
3 - Jalen Hurts - OU
4 - Justin Fields - OSU
5 - Tyler Huntley - UTAH
6 - Tanner Morgan - MINN
7 - Trevor Lawrence - CLEM

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I simply went just as far down as needed to capture all teams in the CFP

But you'll notice those other teams had pretty high levels of success as well.

I was wrong about a few other things in the original thread last year but I do think that passing efficiency is probably the strongest current correlation to elite success.

I suppose to further review this topic I could look at pass efficiency defense to have some reflexive view. I want to say that OU, Clemson, and UGA were pretty high on that list.