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re: Realistic expectations!

Posted on 12/28/09 at 12:26 pm to
Posted by ForeLSU
The Corner of Sanity and Madness
Member since Sep 2003
41525 posts
Posted on 12/28/09 at 12:26 pm to
quote:

to be above .500 in their conference over a 2-year period.


so every season carries the weight of the previous season's record??
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
294208 posts
Posted on 12/28/09 at 12:27 pm to
quote:


That's bullshite. Nobody just wants to complain about Miles. We'd all much rather watch him win NCs and talk about how great he is. Coaches get the praise and criticism they deserve. If Miles weren't performing like an idiot, very few people would think he is one. Since he is, we do.




I WANT Miles to succeed. I hope like hell LSU doesn't have to hire another coach for 10 years, its a pain in the arse to go thru the process as a fan.

Hope Miles can keep all of the fans happy, but just because I don't think he can doesn't make me a hater.

I believe this.

-Expectations for the program are higher than they have been in my lifetime. From recruiting to coaches salaries, the ingredients are in place for LSU to contend for the SEC every year.

I expect this

-LSU cannot win the SEC every year, but should be able to every 3-4 years. This is not out of line with where the program is.

This is where I think the program stands with the present staff

-for whatever reasons, this team was unprepared for QB after RP was dismissed and it shouldn't have been. COaching hires have been poor, though I think its picking up.

Throw out the past, lets judge the Miles administration on the future. THis upcoming bowl game and next season. I don't have faith in Miles, don't think he is worth elite pay but I hope like hell I am wrong. I realistically think LSU should win an SEC championship this year or next with the talent, the money the school is putting into the program, but I realistically believe it will not.
Posted by Baloo
Formerly MDGeaux
Member since Sep 2003
49645 posts
Posted on 12/28/09 at 12:32 pm to
Beware arbitrary endpoints. Using the 2-year lookback is just a convenient stick to beat Miles with, but it doesn't hold up to honest scrutiny seeing that Miles has a winning record if you chose a look-back period of ANY other length.

Additionaly, beware tricky language (ie - failed to be above 500, which insinuates a losing record when Miles is right at 500). I could more honestly say that, regardless of what period you use, Miles has a SEC record 500 or above over his entire career at LSU.

Using only a 2-year period just shows we had a crappy season in 2008.
Posted by Doucet09
Breaux Bridge
Member since Nov 2006
557 posts
Posted on 12/28/09 at 12:35 pm to
quote:

Not winning the west is the problem.


Posted by Lonnie4LSU
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2008
9525 posts
Posted on 12/28/09 at 12:43 pm to
quote:

Can we agree that different expectations don't mean you are a "negatiger?"


I don't know. Can we agree that different expectations don't mean you are "clown"?

Perhaps we should direct some of your "Can we agree" suggestions toward the ""negatiger" world as well or is that an unreasonable expectation?

Posted by Number 3 is my Hero
Member since Nov 2009
4689 posts
Posted on 12/28/09 at 12:48 pm to
LSU football did not exist prior to 2003... Everyone is a bandwagon fan, especially those born in 89 or later
Posted by Nuts4LSU
Washington, DC
Member since Oct 2003
25468 posts
Posted on 12/28/09 at 12:52 pm to
quote:

so every season carries the weight of the previous season's record??


In a way, yes. For instance, Miles is riding the coattails of his first three years right now. If he's going to do that, then he carries the burden of the bad years he's had, too.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
294208 posts
Posted on 12/28/09 at 12:55 pm to
quote:


I don't know. Can we agree that different expectations don't mean you are "clown"?

Perhaps we should direct some of your "Can we agree" suggestions toward the ""negatiger" world as well or is that an unreasonable expectation?




Ahh...the old "it doesn't apply to me because I am a real fan" reply.

Figured I would get a few of those.
Posted by Nuts4LSU
Washington, DC
Member since Oct 2003
25468 posts
Posted on 12/28/09 at 12:55 pm to
quote:

Using only a 2-year period just shows we had a crappy season in 2008.


It also shows we didn't bounce back from that very well, either.

But, more importantly, it shows the TREND of his performance. Mike Archer started out great, too, when he inherited an already-built powerhouse. But, if a coach isn't very good, he proves unable to maintain the level of excellence he inherited, and the program goes downhill, just like ours did under Archer and Miles.

As with Larry Coker, if you reverse the order of Miles' seasons, he would look a lot better right now.
Posted by Number 3 is my Hero
Member since Nov 2009
4689 posts
Posted on 12/28/09 at 12:57 pm to
quote:

RogerTheShrubber


Do you expect any different, I mean he uses 3 not just 1 or 0 to show he is a "real" fan.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
294208 posts
Posted on 12/28/09 at 1:01 pm to
Do you expect any different





My rant was aimed at everyone but Lonnie selectively pointed elsewhere. I should have guessed.
Posted by Number 3 is my Hero
Member since Nov 2009
4689 posts
Posted on 12/28/09 at 1:03 pm to
Well I stay away from the Rant now, because if someone says something and you do not agree they start with the "negitiger" bullshite. Probably one of the biggest cop outs around there.

I think every one can agree 9-3 is not a bad year but the 2 year trend of being 8-8 in SEC and losing to rivals is not something they want to repeat. As I mentioned last night, that is very John Cooperish.

Who was not a bad coach, just look at his career record, yet he could not beat his rivals.
Posted by Billy Ray Valentine
Duke & Duke
Member since Sep 2007
1553 posts
Posted on 12/28/09 at 1:05 pm to
quote:

if you reverse the order of Miles' seasons
I just got excited.....and then threw up in my mouth at reality.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
294208 posts
Posted on 12/28/09 at 1:10 pm to
quote:

c expectations! (Posted on 12/28/09 at 1:03 p.m. to RogerTheShrubber)
Well I stay away from the Rant now, because if someone says something and you do not agree they start with the "negitiger" bullshite. Probably one of the biggest cop outs around there.




Yep, if you disagree with them, you are a negatiger.
Posted by Lonnie4LSU
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2008
9525 posts
Posted on 12/28/09 at 1:14 pm to
quote:

Ahh...the old "it doesn't apply to me because I am a real fan" reply.


Nope...it's just a simple test of ones objectivity and I figured I would get such a response from you.

Posted by Baloo
Formerly MDGeaux
Member since Sep 2003
49645 posts
Posted on 12/28/09 at 1:16 pm to
No, using only a two year lookback doesn't show a trend. It shows, well, nothing really. Since LSU improved by 2 wins this season, how would the two year lookback account for this trend, which by the way, is moving up, not down? 5 being greater than 3 and all that.

I think there are valid anti-Miles arguments, but using selective endpoints to exclude data you don't like ain't one of them. To me, that's the sign of a liar who is using stats the way a drunk uses a lamppost, for support and not illumination.

That is unpersuasive to anyone who isn't already on your team. Use data to convince those on the fence by being honest about both pluses and minuses.

THAT is my bigest problem with this whole debate. It's either ALL good or ALL bad. That is obviously untrue. People bring up Larry Coker. OK, that's valid, but how about Dennis Erickson. He wasn't the "genius" Jimmy Johnson was but he won titles as well without the program rotting.

Actually, I think Miles' closest comp is Mack Brown, who also has a rep for not getting the most out of incredibly talented teams. Both are fantastic recruiters, have a reputation as good guys, and make mind numbingly awful decisions regarding game management sometimes (the only difference between Nebraska and Ole Miss is that Brown got a replay ref to bail him out and Les didn't).
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
294208 posts
Posted on 12/28/09 at 1:17 pm to
quote:



Nope...it's just a simple test of ones objectivity and I figured I would get such a response from you.





Wow. How bad have things gotten around here. My my.

You know man, my post was aimed at everyone, but you chose to see it different. Very very sad.
Posted by ForeLSU
The Corner of Sanity and Madness
Member since Sep 2003
41525 posts
Posted on 12/28/09 at 1:38 pm to
quote:

it shows the TREND of his performance


yes, but you can't simply discount this year vs. last year. Two major factors led to 3-5 with 3 blowouts last year...the Malvetto hire and the QB situation without Perrilloux. Both of those were addressed. The defense improved, the QB inefficiencies were at least managed better, and the record is 5-3, with the 3 losses at least being competitive. Now, this certainly isn't where we want to be, but it does show that changes were made that has reversed the trend.

Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
294208 posts
Posted on 12/28/09 at 1:43 pm to
quote:

and the record is 5-3, with the 3 losses at least being competitive. Now, this certainly isn't where we want to be, but it does show that changes were made that has reversed the trend.



I don't have a problem with the record this year. I do have problems with some things I witnessed, but can't fault Miles for LSU's record. Playing PSU in the Cap one is about what we hoped for this year.

What happens next year is more important. No excuses, lets see what happens. If LSU can't beat Bama, UF and Ole Miss in the next couple regardless of record, I could see a "John Cooper" scenerio based solely on Miles pay among elite coaches. Yes, he is compensated to be elite. Not just on what he has done, but what he should do in the future.
Posted by LJBurton
Member since Feb 2005
1383 posts
Posted on 12/28/09 at 1:44 pm to
quote:

Actually, I think Miles' closest comp is Mack Brown, who also has a rep for not getting the most out of incredibly talented teams. Both are fantastic recruiters, have a reputation as good guys, and make mind numbingly awful decisions regarding game management sometimes (the only difference between Nebraska and Ole Miss is that Brown got a replay ref to bail him out and Les didn't).


Careful Baloo. I made this comparison a while back, and I still think it is a very valid comparison; however, I got lit up by the latest class of poster, the PosiMacks. "How dare you question Mack Brown, don't you know his record? How can you say that he doesn't get a lot out of talent? You aren't qualified to say that!" It's as if the Miles Minions are so blind in their allegiance to him, that since he and Mack share the common bond of botching up the clock, they felt the need to go to the wall for Mack as well.
This post was edited on 12/28/09 at 1:46 pm
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