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re: LSU basketball is being criminally overlooked

Posted on 1/12/18 at 11:06 am to
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 1/12/18 at 11:06 am to
Give it time. Give it time.


Posted by BayouWolf
Member since Dec 2009
255 posts
Posted on 1/12/18 at 11:18 am to
Love seeing real basketball threads - been a while.

Apologies if posted elsewhere, but as some know the NCAA adjusted the selection criteria and the "team sheets" that the committee members will use this year. Big change is more credit for road/neutral wins (which benefits LSU at this point), a change in tiering and I think most importantly they are finally de-emphasizing RPI and formally including KenPom, KPI, BPI and Sagarin rankings (all viewed as definitely more representative than RPI). This link will take to you to the NCAA website and example team sheet.

NCAA Basketball Team Sheet Example

As of this morning, LSU is ranked:
Result-Based Metrics:
RPI (per NCAA site): 57
KPI: 29
SOR (strength of record): 46
Average: 44

Predictive Metrics:
BPI (ESPN): 49
KenPom: 50
Sagarin: 59
Average: 53

Those metrics should put them squarely in the conversation for an at-large if the season ended today.
Posted by BayouWolf
Member since Dec 2009
255 posts
Posted on 1/12/18 at 11:43 am to
This is probably data overload for some but NCAA also changed the tiering to give more credit for road/neutral wins. They did so by bucketing the Tiers as follows:

Tier 1 - Results against opponents with RPI rankings 1-30 (home games), 1-50 (neutral) and 1-75 (road)

Tier 2 - Results against opponents with RPI rankings 31-75 (home), 51-100 (neutral), 76-135 (away)

Tier 3 - Results against opponents with RPI rankings 76-160 (home), 101-200 (neutral), 136-240 (away)

Tier 4 - Results against opponents with RPI rankings 161+ (home), 201+ (neutral), 241+ (away)

Based on those tiers, LSU as of today would be:
Tier 1 - 3-3.....3 wins (@ Arky, @ A&M, Mich (N)) and 3 losses (Kentucky, Marquette, ND)
Tier 2 - 2-0 (Houston and @ Memphis)
Tier 3 - 0-1 (SFA)
Tier 4 - 6-0 (rest of non-conference home schedule)

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