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EARLY NFL DRAFT QB RANKINGS (ANALYTICS)
Posted on 2/14/20 at 6:22 am
Posted on 2/14/20 at 6:22 am
LINK
quote:
Of course, my model’s rankings and my personal rankings are going to be a little different as I think I can pick up on minor things that my model isn’t incorporating. For now, I have the 2020 quarterbacks ranked as:
1. Joe Burrow - Day 1 starter with Hall of Fame potential after an all-time Heisman campaign.
2. Tua Tagovailoa - Potential franchise QB if healthy after a rookie-year redshirt.
3. Justin Herbert - Boom-or-bust franchise QB with good and bad traits.
4. Jalen Hurts - Versatile, high-floor backup QB with starting potential as a stud college player.
5. Jake Fromm - Low-upside fringe starter as a pocket passer with average traits.
6. Jordan Love - A “toolsy” developmental project coming off an awful college season.
7. Anthony Gordon - An against all odds backup QB with high-end college production.
8. Jacob Eason - A big armed, backup QB with awareness and mobility issues.
quote:
Projected Overall Draft Pick: 1st
Joe Burrow (6’3/216) is the most valuable 2020 NFL prospect, even after factoring in some of his potential red flags -- age and one season of quality production. He has elite accuracy to all levels of the field because of smooth mechanics and delivery, which led to the second-best single-season FBS completion percentage (76.3%) since at least 1956. His ability to diagnose coverages, throw with anticipation, and bounce from first to second and third reads give him Hall of Fame upside as an NFL pocket passer. He also moves well enough to avoid blitzers and can pick up the occasional first down with his legs. Overall, Burrow profiles as a Day 1 starter who wins with accuracy, decision-making, and mental toughness. These three traits explain why he broke the single-season FBS record for passing touchdowns (60) last season. Of the 178 FBS quarterback prospects since 2005, Burrow ranks 5th overall in my model as a 98th percentile quarterback prospect.
Situational Stats:
Yards per attempt against FBS winning teams: 10.2 (2nd of 16 Combine invitees)
1st down rate on passes: 44% (1st)
Touchdown rate on red zone passes: 43% (2nd)
11
Posted on 2/14/20 at 6:26 am to IMJ127
1. Joe Burrow - Day 1 starter with Hall of Fame potential after an all-time Heisman campaign.
2. Tua Tagovailoa - Potential franchise QB if healthy after a rookie-year redshirt.
My favorite part!
2. Tua Tagovailoa - Potential franchise QB if healthy after a rookie-year redshirt.
My favorite part!
Posted on 2/14/20 at 6:30 am to IMJ127
Hurts 4???? 
Posted on 2/14/20 at 6:30 am to IMJ127
Pretty good analysis imho fwiw
Posted on 2/14/20 at 6:56 am to IMJ127
So being 23 is a knock on Burrow????? How old were Tom Brady and Peyton Manning coming out of college?
Posted on 2/14/20 at 7:13 am to IMJ127
I’m sorry but Jalen hurts is wayyy to high on this list. Kid is not an NFL QB
Posted on 2/14/20 at 7:27 am to IMJ127
Hurts cannot consistently produce the required passing expertise in order to succeed at the NFL level. He will be an effective backup and that's it. Also not very impressed with his defensive reads.
Posted on 2/14/20 at 7:31 am to Buga225
I agree. Hurts is a converted RB.
Posted on 2/14/20 at 7:41 am to Big Sway
Hurts could be a really good Taysom Hill clone
Posted on 2/14/20 at 7:45 am to IMJ127
I would take Love, Eason or Fromm before Hurts. Hurts is not Jackson. He was never that dynamic and just can not throw it accurately.
Posted on 2/14/20 at 7:54 am to IMJ127
You mostly disregarded Burrow’s running ability and performance.
Posted on 2/14/20 at 8:20 am to Havoc
I didn't write the article. I'm just sharing it.
Posted on 2/14/20 at 8:24 am to IMJ127
Has there ever been a draft with 3 natty winning qbs in it?
Posted on 2/14/20 at 8:54 am to IMJ127
quote:
Of the 178 FBS quarterback prospects since 2005, Burrow ranks 5th overall in my model as a 98th percentile quarterback prospect.
I wonder who the 4 in front of him are to have an idea of how accurate this model is. I would guess Luck, Newton, and who else?
Posted on 2/14/20 at 8:59 am to tigermed
quote:
So being 23 is a knock on Burrow????? How old were Tom Brady and Peyton Manning coming out of college?
It’s a knock in the “all things being equal department” It lessens his potential career vs someone who’s 20. Like they always bring up Lamar Jackson, same age but Jackson has 2 years in the league already. His age isn’t a concern as to whether a team would pass on him.
Posted on 2/14/20 at 9:05 am to IMJ127
doesn't mention Joe's greatest quality: work ethic
Posted on 2/14/20 at 9:08 am to Strannix
quote:
Hurts 4????
Who would you put above him? Love is the only one with that possibly should be ahead and that’s solely on potential. It’s a fairly weak class outside the top 2 or 3.
Posted on 2/14/20 at 9:09 am to tigerfoot
No way I’d take Fromm over hurts. Fromm will never be a good NFL player, Hurts has the possibility even if it’s not as a full time QB.
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