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re: Betting on Nuss

Posted on 1/17/25 at 10:16 am to
Posted by Datbayoubengal
Port City
Member since Sep 2009
29311 posts
Posted on 1/17/25 at 10:16 am to
Gotta be kidding me. Manning, Lagway, and the ND RB over Nuss is laughable.

We have yet to see Manning vs SEC talent.

Lagway is really good, but no way in hell fo i think he will have the stats or wins to win a heisman.

ND's RB is a joke. Riley Leonard being an exceptional runner at QB is what is helping him. He's good, but not heisman level. That starts at 2200 rushing yards for a RB, and he needed 15 games to get to 1130 yards this year. For comparison sakes, before Jeanty went insane this year, he had 1350 rush yards last year in 12 games. He also added 570 receiving yards in that span with 19 total TDs. This ND kid has 19 total TDs in 15 games and 230 receiving.


Nuss could legit explode this year with all the speed at receiver. These were the jumps each of our best QBs in yards per attempt did since 2012

Mett
2012 - 7.4
2013 - 10.4

Burrow
2018 - 7.6
2019 - 10.8

Daniels
2022 - 7.5
2023 - 11.7

I'll even give a bonus one

Rettig
2016 - 7.9
2017 - 9.0

Even the worst 2 year starter averaged over a yard per attempt more in his 2nd season. Both Mett and Burrow went at least 3 yards per attempt higher, and Daniels went an insane 4.2 ypa higher

If Nuss has the least jump of the 4, it would put him at 8.8 ypa next year, throwing 35 times a game instead of 40, you get 4004 pass yards in a 13 games (conf champ game included).

If Nuss has an average of the 4, you get 10.57 ypa increased from his 2024 7.7 ypa. At 35 times a game over 13 games again, that's 4810 pass yards.

So 4800 yards and 45 TDs on a possible 12-1 team would almost certainly put him in heisman lead unless somebody is just going bananas.
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